2 Nice Ones

79 Comments

11:23PM

First, a brief word on the earthquake that occurred on Tuesday evening, centered in Maine. Did indeed feel it here and all over the Northeast. This light quake, though not a frequent occurrence, is not all that unusual either for this part of the country.  Thankfully, no injuries and no major damage have occurred as a result of this quake, though minor damage did take place in a few locations from southern Maine to the VT/NH border (nails out of siding, items falling off shelves, etc.) . Do not be surprised if a few aftershocks are detected.

Now, on to the weather. After a cooler, gusty day on Tuesday, high pressure will slide just south of New England then offshore during midweek. This will result in 2 very nice days around here with abundant sunshine and milder air. An upper level disturbance will send some clouds across the region Wednesday night. Regarding the unsettled weather threat late this week, there are no changes to the previous discussion. I still believe Friday will be the wet day as low pressure moves around an upper level trough centered west of New England. The surface low should move away to the northeast as the upper trough lifts more to the north, allowing drier air to move in during the weekend. Early next week looks mild to start but we’ll be watching another front approaching to see what the timing turns out to be on it.

Updated forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-65. Wind NW up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 45-50. Wind SW around 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-68. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 50-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain developing from southwest to northeast. Highs 61-66. Wind SE 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers eastern areas early. Low 54. High 63.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 42. High 61.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 49. High 67.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Low 49. High 64.

79 thoughts on “2 Nice Ones”

  4. Heavy frost in Easton this morning. I was kicking myself bc i keep forgetting to get windshield washer fluid for my car, and i couldnt find my scraper. So there I was, sitting in my car with the defroster on full blast heat, slooooowly getting rid of the frost on my windshield. #latetowork

  5. Thank you TK!!!!

    I was surprised that our frost was heavier this morning than it was Saturday morning. But I still don’t think it was heavy enough since my plants are for the most part unaffected.

      2. Saturday was not overkill or hype in terms of temperatures. The temperatures verified in most areas. It was the lack of moisture in the air that prevented frost. Most areas had a light freeze, some had a hard freeze that morning. More moisture this morning (leftover from yesterday) meant more frost.

        1. The dew point was in the 20s – I remember asking how low a DP could go, TK. I agree with your comment…….of course that doesn’t mean a whole hill of beans but….. 😀

  6. Thanks TK.
    Enjoying the next two days before Friday where a low pressure system will take an inside runner track bringing the POTENTIAL for some heavy rain and even the possiblity of non severe storms.

  7. Thanks TK!

    We were out all morning and just got in from doing shopping, errands. Maybe it’s because the sun is bright today, but the foliage looks very colorful and seems to have revived. I even saw some bright red colors mixed in with the oranges and golds. Heavy frost early this morning in Sudbury and very cold. I wonder if the the 2 frosts we had brightened up the trees.

  9. If the EURO has te right idea, then the plains (maybe specifically the Dakotas) could be looking at a big snowstorm about a week from now. Its been fairly consistent in cooling off the west and warming up the east, with a big storm cutting between the contrast. The last 2 days, it has presented a bit of high pressure in eastern Canada which appears to hold off the warm surge from charging into New England.

  11. Sun dog visible!

    On FB once in a while I visit both professional and non-professional weather pages. I came across one today in which the page name has a typo in it. Classic. 🙂

    1. As they are here in Boston, but that is expected since we didn’t have a frost yet. Logan got down to 35. I am surprised that the mosquitoes are still in Framingham though considering you got down to below freezing at 27-28.

      Could it be that mosquitoes and insects in general are much stronger these days? I still saw plenty of insects buzzing around last Christmas.

      1. I have always thought it took at least two very heavy freezes and we are not even in that ballpark sadly

      2. If the skeeters were somehow hiding in an area against a house they could have survived. I don’t think insects are any tougher now than they used to be. Last year’s insects buzzing around Christmas was due to a very warm weather pattern that lasted a very long time.

  13. I went down to my basement this morning to check for any damage and there was some plaster on the floor that had come down from the ceiling. I guess it is safe to say that if I had been down there, I would have felt the quake a lot more than where I was in my room on the second floor.

    I saw on the TV news last night that there was a house in Woburn that showed a fair amount of damage to the foundation. The quake also opened the front door even though it was locked. A lamp was knocked over as well.

    If I have the name of the town wrong, let me know.

        1. I hope that Woburn is correct. The story was “first at 11:00” (pm) on Ch. 7 news. You know how they are about hype. 😉

  14. The NHL players will give there answer by tomorrow night. I suspect strongly they will vote it in. If they do, season starts November 2nd. Best deal they will get.

  15. Its the start of what could be some serious negotiations to end this lockout. From what I just read on the sportingnews.com Donald Fehr saying in a letter to the players the offer is seriously lacking stuff. I think this is the best offer the players are going to get. I have been saying to people since this lockout started that hockey would be back between early November and December. Both sides don’t want to have to cancel the winter classic because to me if that gets cancelled then this could end up being like 04-05 where you lose an entire season.

    1. I have a gut feeling they grab it. And with a full season and playoffs guarantee, we will be watching hockey till the 4th of July, literally.

  16. This is the third lockout with this sport 94-95 was a shortened season, 04-05 season was wiped out completely, and 12-13 to be determined what happens. I don’t think there has been a commissioner in any sport with 3 lockouts under their watch. If they don’t accept this offer the next one is going to be worse. Will see what happens but this to me is the first sign we have had in this month plus lockout to ending it.

    1. Heard this morning they don’t like it. This deal will be the best offer they get. Time for Garry to step down.

  17. Wouldn’t it be something………both the GFS and the EURO show some signal for a tropical system to be off the southeast US coastline the weekend before Halloween, nearly 1 year to the date of last year’s crazy snowstorm. Talk about opposite scenarios from year to year.

  18. Thank TK,
    What time do you think the rain will stop in Keene. Between the Nam and GFS I have no clue.

  19. Good morning and I have a question about that tropical system. My sister in law is coming to visit from Atlanta either the weekend before or the weekend after Halloween. She is a flight attendant for Delta so flies standby which makes a huge difference if there is any “weather” I know it’s over a week away but what is the liklihood there will be a system? Since both weekends work for her and for us, I figure we should ere on the side of caution.

  20. I saw that system on the GFS for a couple days. Thought it was the GFS just being the GFS, lol. Looks like it originates in the eastern pacific and crosses the Yukatan and redevelops in the Carribben, then somehow makes its way off the SE US coast.

  21. For those of you here who are snow lovers, I have found my snow socks And lest anyone doubt their power, a friend gave them to me in November 2010 and I wore them that entire season until even I got nervous about the snow accumulation and hid them. I also put them on one time only last year and that was October 27. And if that isn’t enough, I think they are the only pair of socks I have that actually do not seem to get lost or separated from each other 🙂

    1. Do I read that correctly that we have equal chances for above, normal and below? I have to be reading it incorrectly.

          1. Seems like a cop out doesnt it?? lol. I think what it means is that there isnt anything definitive that would sway either way. Its evident there is an expected ridge in the western US with the above temps and generally below precip. In the east, it depends on where troughs set up which can be hard to predict and that can sway the temps and/or precip either way

      1. November 1????? Wow I need to get those socks on now……sorry, rainshine! Look what just finding them may have caused!

    2. OK, because its November 1st….it should be easy for us to remember that date and see what the weather ended up being. Hmmm…the GFS….I’ll go with 67F and sunny. 🙂 🙂

      1. Oh Tom be very very careful. People doubted the power of the snow socks at first in January 2011. It didnt take long for the doubters to start asking me to burn them 😀

  24. Coastal, i think i can say that for most of us here, its wonderful to finally see a model map link from u that contains the possibility of snow, even if it is for central and northern parts 🙂

          1. Player’s reject offer. That Noaa forcast was a joke.it might do this, or that, or maybe it might do this. Stay tuned in for further updates.

  26. Hi all!

    Will read all comments, and reply where necessary, then update blog this evening. Very busy day here!

    Going to continue with the optimistic forecast for Saturday.

    Chat with you all soon!

  27. Brett Anderson’s winter forecast for Canada is for above normal temps and below normal snowfall for December, but then come January and February temps will be mostly near normal with normal to in some areas above normal snowfall.

    TK…will this be pretty much our winter forecast as well?

    1. I’m not sure about 2 out of 3 months above for snow. I’m on the fence with temps (not taking the Fall pattern into account since it’s still in progress). We’ll be shoveling more than last winter, but how much more is the big question.

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