DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)
Trough swings through today but you’ll hardly notice it other than some clouds passing by in the sky. Otherwise, it’s a pretty nice September day with mild and comfortably dry air. Unsettled weather is coming though as a low pressure area dives east southeastward and passes through our region later Wednesday through early Thursday. Its warm front gives our area a round of rainfall Wednesday evening. Its cold front follows it with showers Thursday morning. This quick mover is then gone and we dry out the remainder of Thursday, although the frontal boundary slows just enough with a wave of low pressure moving along it to bring the chance of some early morning showers on Friday near the South Coast. Otherwise, dry weather will be dominant here on Friday and Saturday as high pressure builds back in.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 73-80. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifts to NW.
TONIGHT: Clear, then high clouds arrive overnight. Inland low elevation fog patches. Lows 50-57. Wind N under 10 MPH then calm.
WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Rain chance by late-day especially north and west of Boston. Highs 68-75. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SE to S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Wind S to SW up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with showers likely until midday including a slight chance of a thunderstorm. Partly cloudy afternoon. Humid morning, then drying. Highs 72-79. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 68-75. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Wind N under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 13-17)
High pressure slips offshore to end the weekend and the beginning of next week. A frontal boundary gets closer from the northwest but this time a southwesterly flow aloft for a few days will keep it from whipping through, instead keeping our region on the warmer side of it until a low goes by to the north and finally pulls it by the region, allowing drier, cooler weather to settle in for later in the period.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 18-22)
Down the home stretch of astronomical summer we go with a pattern that features limited shower chances and a gradual cooling trend. The autumnal equinox is at 8:05 p.m. EDT on September 22.
Taking a poll…
How many people actually read the blog discussion on a daily basis, how many read just the forecast details, and how many skip both and come right to the comments section?
It’s a fair question to ask, so be honest. 🙂
I read the blog, the forecast and the comments every day. Never miss it.
Good morning. I read blog, dailies, and comments every day. If it’s easier for you to change things, please do what helps make it less work.
Curious as to why the question was asked. Did you get a sense from some comments that some were not reading the discussion and/or daily forecast?
I mostly read the blog and forecast daily. I sometimes slack off in summer as I am not as concerned about daily flucuations.
I read the discussion slowly and think about what you wrote and then read the forecast faster and refer back to the discussion. Hi, everyone! I’m still here every day, just don’t want participate in the discussion because life is too crazy!
Read all of it daily – the forecast, upcoming days, comments, most attached links, all of it.
I read the blogs sometimes more than once. I read the dailies but often just the 1st 3-4 days. I look at the comments for sure. I will miss days when travelling or when I receive a difficult work assignment (I work off and on about 20 weeks a year.).
My preference is to think about the potential effects of forecasts rather than just the raw forecast itself … scheduled sports events, walks, mountain hikes, car travel safety, etc.
I read it all – 95% of the days. I really enjoy it.
Good morning and thanks, TK.
I always read the forecast discussion and details and usually the comments.
Thanks TK
I read both the discussion and forecast.
I read the discussion and the comments. I often don’t read all of the details, just those specific my upcoming outdoor plans.
Thanks TK !
Yes, the vast majority of time, I read it all. There’s a time or 2 I go in reverse, where I go to the comments first and then read your discussion and forecast.
Wordle: 5
From the most west Hawaiian island
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=PHLI&hours=72
I’m with Tom in the Wordle 5-car. I didn’t have much luck guessing the middle letter.
Had middle letter with 3rd guess, along with a bunch out of position. Enough to get it though.
Great 5s Tom and SClarke
Good morni g and thank you TK
62 up from 69, dp 52
Ocean: 66
Wordle: 4
Tried random word again. It yielded 2 letters out of position and I worked from there to get it in 4. Not changing yet.
Sweet 4!!
Thank you
Do you tend to take first word or do you skip to one that looks good?
So far, only 2 days, I have taken the 1st word. That may change. Extremely small sample size.
I will try tonight. Good luck n
Well yet again. Choices got me
Wordle fail
Sorry to hear. You are not one to fail very often.
Thank you. It’s happened more lately than in the first several years.
2 excellent movies.
Watched 2 more this weekend.
The first is entitled The Devil’s Arithmetic
With Kirsten Dunst and Brittany Murphy. What a life’s lesson this is!
The 2nd was more of a family movie, entitled An Angel For May
Neither is an Academy Award winning production, but both are fine movies, for sure.
I like when you share these
🙂
Oh, sorry. I found them both for free on You Tube.
Oops should have asked. Netflix?
YOU TUBE
Darn. I don’t have YouTube
No subscription required.
Just follow this link:
https://www.youtube.com/
I meant on my tv. I use it on my phone. But there may be an app on my tv that I just havnt tried.
Oh, I get it. I watch on my desktop computer, not on the TV. But I do have YouTube on my TV.
If it is not there, there should be an icon or button that will let you add it. Really should not be a problem. 🙂
I think that covers it all. One “devil” and one “angel”. 🙂
One way of looking at it.
I took JpDave’s suggestion and used the random 5 letter word finder to generate my first guess. For this try, I asked for a second word, which I believe helped me. Got Wordle in 4.
Welcome to the 4 car. Not sure this is a valid strategy, but it has worked well for 2 days. We’ll see how it works moving forward. I imagine there will be some clunkers for sure. 🙂
Awesome
Discussion, 2 days, comments.
Wordle 5
Yay on 5
Welcome aboard the train!!!
I have to admit, I usually just “skim” the discussion most days which is why sometimes I’ll ask a question in the comments section that was already answered in the discussion above. I always make a “New Year’s Resolution” to thoroughly read the discussion that I have yet to keep, lol. 😉 I do read the discussion thoroughly when major weather issues come up (i.e., summer severe storms, hurricanes, snowstorms etc.). 🙂
Most days I go directly to the comments section and skip the “wordle” discussions. Sorry but I have ZERO interest in wordle. My interest here at WHW is strictly Weather with occasional discussion of local sports teams. 🙂
At the same time, I also have ZERO interest in interfering with those who do discuss Wordle here. By all means, continue to do so as long as TK has no problem with it. 🙂
I agree Phillip. I skip the Wordle comments too – no offense to Wordle players. I think it is great since I am a former English teacher with no time to play with current responsibilities.
Christian Gonzalez contract has FINALLY been resolved! I believe it’s 4 years, $135 M. 🙂
Wow!!! I was going to check on that when I had a moment.
That is excellent news to say the least!!! Now I can enjoy the game tomorrow night.
https://www.nfl.com/news/patriots-signing-cb-christian-gonzalez-to-4-year-135-million-contract-extension
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=sfctd-imp&rh=2026090812&fh=42&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfctd-imp&rh=2026090812&fh=42&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Looks like dps around 65F overnight Wednesday.
Thank you TK! I read from top to bottom just about daily. Sometimes work gets in the way or I move and have way too many things to do.
Wordle: 4
Excellent. Welcome to the 4 car.
Awesome 4
Thanks again for this awesome blog. I read discussion and comments several times a day.
Hi all! The poll is curiosity and it’s linked to my last comment on yesterday’s post – a conversation I had on the Hampton Beach boardwalk about oversaturation of graphical content on social media and the written word being even more valuable than “pretty pictures” that say very little, even if the information is correct.
I think you received pretty favorable results from your poll. 🙂
Yes, that is very nice. 🙂
The people I met up there were cool and we had a great chat about all of that, and it got me thinking when I had explained to them what kind of blog I write.
This blog was created for me by close friends & family members so I could do what I love to do even though I had gone into different type of work, which I am now very glad I did due to life circumstances.
There is some expansion I want to do to the blog in the future – I’ve mentioned some of this before regarding Discord and a likely Podcast of some kind. At the same time I do want to retain at least somewhere that things can stay as they are, even if other things are added that are much different. I think it’s doable. I have a great support system over here to help…
https://www.pivotalweather.com/maps.php?ds=cpc&p=cpc_temp_d0814&r=conus
This could well end up correct, but I am looking at the AIGFS, the GFS and the GDPS at 12z out beyond 192 and I see a fair amount of east coast ridging, or 500 mb heights at 582dm or even a little higher.
What the models are simulating vs this long range outlook seem in contradiction, unless an arctic blast with -20F anomolies are happening days 12-14.
Of course, this is initialized from yesterday, 9-7-26 and it wouldn’t surprise me if the models are completely different today vs yesterday in the mid and long range.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
I think that smoke north of Maine, in Canada, comes all the way from Siberian forest fires.
The smoke worked its way northeast of Barrow, AK, over the arctic ocean, then came back down and has traveled across mostly northern Canada and then got directed further south, to its current position.
Thanks TK.
I read the discussion, forecast, and comments on a daily basis and if I miss a day or two for whatever reason, I go back and catch up on the comments in chronological order and then read the most recent blog writeup. Like Tom, I sometimes don’t read the blog and forecast details in order and skim the comments first.
I also don’t play Wordle (yet) so skim past all those comments and go directly to the weather related posts. Though I have no problem with any of the Wordle or other non-weather discussions on here (for the most part).
I like the sound of YET!!
Me too!
Tk you’re the only forecast source that mentioned today’s trough and clouds. The only one.
I didn’t really pay attention to many local forecasts. I’ve been doing less of that.
The only thing I noticed is NWS did not mention it, although it’s been shown on guidance consistently for many days. European model had it before anything else did, and then the RRFS took over from there.
At noon today there were very light showers for about 10 minutes at Hampton Beach. We saw the rain approaching from over the ocean.
After that the sky became a crystal-clear blue with puffy white clouds.
Euro had that quite a few days in advance, and RRFS was steady on it as well – at least in the vicinity.
Thanks, TK!
55 the overnight low.
77 now.
NOTE: A lot of fake AI-generated images of tornadoes spawned by Hurricane Lowell in Hawaii are circulating social media. Be aware. Don’t share.
There is also a headline about the “first ever tornado watch” issued for Hawaii. This is VERY misleading.
Tornadoes are not common there, but are most certainly not unheard of in Hawaii. What is rare is for the island chain to be close enough to the right quadrant of a storm to be threatened with tornadoes, and in previous occasions, for whatever reasons, watches were not issued. This has nothing to do with something occurring for the first time, and media misleads with that notion. I told you, I’ll call these out. This is a weather blog, and if I see non-clarity in reporting, I’ll most certainly clear it up for you.
Hawaii has recorded 42 tornadoes since the 1950s. All of these occurred WITHOUT a watch in place. Additionally, there have been NO reported tornadoes with Hurricane Lowell. I’ll monitor for late reports, just in case. The storm has moved away now and conditions in the western areas are improved.
Now that we have those facts straight… 🙂
P.S.
Oh yeah .. one other itsy bitsy tidbit…
It was not NWS policy to issue tornado watches in Hawaii until recently. Soooo…yeah.
What was that I was saying about the social media posts?
You’re welcome.
The Christian Gonzalez 3-year contract is for $135 million of which $102 million is guaranteed. So let’s do the math.
$102 million / 3 years / 17 regular season games = $2 million per game.
A defensive player sees about 60 defensive snaps per game so Christian Gonzalez receives about $33,333 per snap.
Not bad work if you can get it. 😉
Red Sox down 4-0, 7th.
They shouldn’t be losing to crappy teams, especially at home. At least they have a nice winning streak behind them so it’s ok….for now.
Not a time to get into bad habits…again.
I don’t think I would classify a loss after five straight wins as getting into bad habits. 😉
My thought too.
Lowell is beyond Hawaii now. Some damage there in western islands.
The two systems to the east are no threat to land – one of them may not even fully develop before it’s a done deal.
So it’s quieting down a bit for now in the E Pac.
Atlantic remains zzzzzzzzzzzzz as I mentioned earlier. Our record is about to be broken then shattered for no hurricanes which will become the latest on record, along with record low ACE.
I got more info on the North Pole. It’s the region north of 80N that’s monitored by the DMI (Dutch Meteorological Institute). I posted the link for them previously. Yes, a good estimate is that the temp remained below freezing at the North Pole June 1 through August 31, which would be the first time in quite a few years that’s happened, possibly since observations began.
North of 80N, the temperature was considerably cooler than it has been over the last handful of years. We’ll see if that’s a one-off, or the start of a trend.
One factor I think plays in is the Hunga Tonga Effect, which will last up to a decade, details to-be-determined or in the process of being learned.
I was alerted by a colleague to a new set of posts on s.m. platforms talking about there being 6 volcanoes in the Ring of Fire that are erupting at the same time. The posts will be worded in such a way to make it sound unusual. Here’s the rest of the story: It’s not unusual. Five of these 6 volcanoes have been erupting for at least a year, and this is also a fairly regular occurrence. Only Krakatoa joined the party this past week, so they are using that as a launch pad for their sensationalist / alarmist posts. Again, if you see these posts, don’t share them. They leave out important details in the name of sounding like something you want to click and share.
#RealScienceAlways
TK – With regard to the North Pole, is it possible that global warming has now “peaked” and that the planet will soon go “in the other direction” if you will?
If I have read your recent posts correctly about both Poles, their temperatures have at least stopped “warming” lately, if not going down. Correct?