DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)
As was expected, a series of cold fronts has knocked us down our temperature staircase to a lower platform – a more seasonable chill – that will now be ours for today and tomorrow, as high pressure dominates today and slides off to our east tomorrow. The front that moved through last night was not as “dry” as I had forecast. While not widespread, there were some ground-wetting rain showers with it, but not enough to do anything for the drought or quell many of the brush fires burning in the region. The former will continue to build, and the latter will continue to burn with only human intervention available – an effort thwarted by a gusty wind during today. Finally, the wind leaves us later today as the center of high pressure crosses. This sets up a cold night tonight. Clouds fan into the region and thicken up Sunday as a warm front approaches. Low pressure passes to our north Sunday night and early Monday with a period of rain with the warm front’s passage, and some rain showers with a cold front trailing the low early Monday. This should clear out in time for most of the outdoor Veterans Day parades and ceremonies scheduled for Monday, and while it will be breezy, it looks fairly mild that day. A secondary cold front will deliver cooler air and dry weather for Tuesday and Wednesday.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts to 30 MPH, but gradually diminishing during the afternoon.
TONIGHT: Clear followed by high clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Thickening clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady or rising slightly. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)
Potential low pressure impacts with rain chances around November 14 & 18, but neither look like they can produce soaking beneficial rainfall here. Overall pattern remains dry with temperatures variable but near to above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)
First hints on some reliable guidance of a shift toward a more blocked pattern at high latitudes, which would potentially lead to a shot of colder air arriving during this period of time, but still looks like a fairly dry pattern overall.