DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 14-18)
Low pressure crosses the region then departs during the day today, bringing an overcast start to the day with pockets of rain showers, even an isolated thunderstorm potential (there were a few around yesterday and last night too). While a drying trend gets underway this afternoon, one more trough can trigger another passing shower or thunderstorm up until early evening. Tonight we see the arrival of the coolest air mass of the season to date, which will be with us into midweek. During this time high pressure extends into our region while upper level low pressure crosses it. This combination is good for a fair amount of diurnal clouds, and quite a few may form Tuesday and Wednesday, with a brief rain shower not to be rule out especially Wednesday midday or afternoon. By Thursday and Friday, the departure of the upper low and continuation of high pressure in control mean fewer clouds Thursday and abundant sunshine by Friday. While mornings will be chilly, you’ll notice a milder trend each daytime.
TODAY: Cloudy with patchy fog and scattered rain showers including a slight chance of a thunderstorm through midday. Breaking clouds and intervals of sun develop west to east this afternoon with an additional rain shower or thunderstorm possible late-day. Highs 54-61 except 61-68 RI and southeastern MA. Wind NE 5-15 MPH except variable to briefly SW in RI and southeastern MA, all shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts later.
TONIGHT: An early rain shower potential eastern areas, otherwise clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill sub-freezing at times.
TUESDAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 51-58. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37, except 38-45 urban locations. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Clouds dominate / intervals of sun. Slight rain shower chance. Highs 50-57. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39, milder in urban areas. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 31-38. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 19-23)
High pressure delivers fair weather and a milder spell through mid period. Watch for a disturbance bringing a rain shower chance later in the period as well as a cooler air mass.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 24-28)
Inconsistency in day to day weather means a potential disturbance and rain shower threat will be hard to time early or mid period, otherwise the general pattern looks fairly dry with variable day-to-day temperatures averaging close to normal overall.