DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 17-21)

We have another nice day in store for today but there will be some varying amounts of high and mid level cloud cover to limit the sun. A disturbance approaches from the west and while it can trigger a few showers and thunderstorms to our west later today that activity is expected to dissipate before arriving. Overnight light rain approaches as a warm front begins its trek across the region, one that will produce additional showers and perhaps some embedded thunder in our area during Thursday morning. We enter the warm sector of low pressure passing to our north Thursday afternoon, and a trough and cold front will then move through the region, being focus points for showers and thunderstorms. While a lack of sun and marginal instability are negative factors, there is some potential for a few strong storms with the help of a couple other positive factors, including decent wind shear, which could allow any established storms to become super cells and rotate. While this probability is not extreme, it’s enough that we should pay close attention until the storm threat passes and ends in the evening. So, be weather-aware Thursday, just in case. Behind this what is a three day weekend for many (Friday through Sunday) looks quite nice. We will see some breezy conditions at times between low pressure to our northeast and high pressure building from the Ohio Valley to the Mid Atlantic especially Friday and Saturday. Both of those days will also see some passing fair weather clouds, but I strongly suspect any pop-up showers will be confined to the mountains to our north. Sunday, we’ll see some high clouds fanning across the sky in advance of our next wet weather threat, but that will hold off easily for a dry day and evening to finish the weekend! Heat and humidity will be absent during this stretch as well, making it quite pleasant for outdoor activities. We welcome summer with the occurrence of the solstice at 4:24 a.m. on Sunday.

TODAY: Sun / cloud mix. Highs 76-83, coolest South Coast. Dew point rising toward 60. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Becoming cloudy. Showers arrive west to east pre-dawn. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers with a chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, with strong storms a potential. Highs 74-81. Dew point rises toward 70. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: An early shower or thunderstorm toward Cape Cod otherwise clearing. Fog patches evening. Lows 56-63. Dew point falls to 50s. Wind SW shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 76-83. Dew point near 50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: A few clouds, then clear. Lows 55-62. Dew point near 50. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 56-63. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 76-83. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 22-26)

Active pattern next week. Rain threat June 22. Shower threat June 24. T-storm threat June 26. Temperatures variable but averaging close to normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 27 – JULY 1)

Quieter pattern here. West northwest flow and a couple disturbances with short-lived unsettled threats, Otherwise, mainly dry. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.