DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 8-12)

A small area of high pressure centered just to our west provides much of the region a sunny day today. The exception will be Cape Cod where lower “ocean effect” clouds will stream in from the north northeast, limiting the sun there. These may temporarily depart later today to allow more sun there, but by the end of the day we’ll already start to see some high clouds increasing from the west in advance of our next storm in this active pattern. These clouds will start to thicken up overnight and as surface winds turn more easterly, lower clouds from the ocean will move inland. Consider yourself lucky if you get to see any sunshine first thing Saturday morning, otherwise we’re destined for a cloudy day. But it will stay rain-free during the daylight hours as the band of rain from the storm will not have arrived yet. This happens in the evening, from southwest to northeast across the region. The low pressure center responsible for this band of rain, which will take about 12 hours to move through the region, will be a slightly elongated low from Upstate NY to our area, redeveloping as it goes along so that one main center takes over in the Gulf of Maine later Sunday. Coastal areas prone to flooding will likely see some during the high tide on Sunday. While the band of rain exits our region from southwest to northeast during Sunday morning, and we may get a few breaks of sun due to sinking air off the hills and mountains to our west as the wind shifts to westerly behind the storm, we’ll still be impacted by this low pressure circulation with lots of clouds through Monday. Eventually, the combination of wrap-around moisture and colder air likely causes occasional snow and mixed rain/snow showers for our region late Sunday night and especially during Monday. High pressure approaches from the west Tuesday, but while we see plenty of sun we keep an active breeze going between this high and low pressure which still spins to our east and northeast.

TODAY: Lots of clouds mainly south of Plymouth MA and sun elsewhere. High clouds arrive late-day. Highs 42-49. Wind NNE-N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts coast.

TONIGHT: High clouds increase from the southwest, lower clouds move in off the ocean. Lows 29-36. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to E overnight.

SATURDAY: A glimpse of sun possible early, otherwise cloudy. Highs 40-47. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain, which may begin briefly mixed with wet snow higher elevations north central MA and southwestern NH. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of fog. Lows 35-42 early, followed by a slow temperature rise. Wind SE 15-30 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

SUNDAY: Overcast start with areas of fog while rain ends southwest to northeast. Fog dissipates, clouds break for partial sun at times midday but remain dominant through afternoon. Highs 48-55 by midday, then a slow temperature fall during the afternoon. Wind SE to variable 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, briefly diminishing then shifting to W and re-increasing to 15-25 MPH with additional higher gusts afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A snow shower possible. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing showers of snow or mixed rain/snow likely. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 13-17)

Disturbance may produce a rain or snow shower late March 13. Additional unsettled weather window March 15-16. St. Pat’s Day may end up windy, colder with snow showers.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 18-22)

Overall pattern looks colder as we say goodbye to winter and welcome spring (equinox March 19) with a couple unsettled events during this period that can include frozen precipitation.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 7-11)

Low pressure southeast of the region will start to pull away as today progresses, but there will still be some rain around this morning and midday, with a drying trend from west to east getting underway from late morning on, so that Cape Cod is the last to see the rain come to an end this afternoon. As the low pressure area organizes and intensifies upon departure, we’ll see a strengthening northerly wind behind the system. Eventually, enough dry air will get in so that the low level moisture departs, as above the storm’s thicker and more extensive cloud deck departs. A sliver of high pressure approaches and moves into the region on Friday, and this will provide a good deal of sunshine for much of the region. The exception will be Cape Cod, and at times maybe parts of the MA South Shore, as the high’s axis being to the west, with low pressure still to the east, creates a north northeast wind off the water and pushes some ocean-effect clouds over those areas – most extensively across Cape Cod where sun may remain unseen or at least limited. As our next low pressure area starts to approach the region, the surface wind will turn more easterly as we head into Saturday, pushing the lower cloud deck back to the west and expanding it northward as well, so we may see that overtake the sky as a higher to mid level cloud deck from the approaching low moves in and thickens up. Other than the potential for a patch of drizzle in southeastern MA Saturday afternoon, I expect rain-free conditions through the daylight hours Saturday. Saturday night and Sunday morning, low pressure will move across the Northeast, with a parent low moving northwest of our region, and a redevelopment taking place right over southern New England Sunday morning. This will be a rain event for the region with the exception of a brief period of wet snow or mixed wet snow and rain in higher elevations of north central MA and southwestern NH Saturday evening. A quick enough evolution of low pressure Sunday morning can pull enough cold air back in to result in a mix at the end of the rainfall in similar locations. The balance of Sunday should feature lots of clouds, but drying conditions, along with a gusty westerly wind behind the departing low pressure area. Monday looks like a blustery and chilly day with a few passing sprinkles of rain or flurries of snow, as a strong area of low pressure lingers to our east.

TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog through midday. Rain and drizzle through midday – drying trend west to east with rain lingering longest Cape Cod. Temperatures steady 38-45 except rising to 45-52 RI and southeastern MA briefly before cooling again. Wind NE 5-15 MPH with higher gusts except variable to SW for a brief time Cape Cod / Islands before shifting to NNE 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening. Clearing overnight except clouds remaining MA South Shore to Cape Cod. Lows 32-39. Wind NNE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially eastern coastal areas in the evening.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny except partly sunny MA South Shore and mostly cloudy Cape Cod. Highs 42-49. Wind NNE-N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts coast.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH early, then variable before becoming E up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partial sun possible especially north and west of Boston early, otherwise cloudy. Highs 42-49. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain, which may begin mixed with wet snow higher elevations north central MA and southwestern NH. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in coastal areas.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with rain and areas of fog during the morning. Rain ends midday followed by breaking but still abundant clouds in the afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind variable 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, becoming W 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH during the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A snow shower possible. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. A rain or snow shower possible. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 12-16)

Dry weather March 12. Quick-passing system may produce rain/snow showers later March 13. Dry weather March 14. Next threat of unsettled weather comes late March 15 into March 16. Temperatures near to below normal March 12, near normal midweek, above normal late week.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 18-21)

Pattern as we head through the final days of winter and welcome spring (vernal equinox March 19) looks active with variable temperatures including a couple precipitation events that may include frozen or mixed.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 6-10)

There’s plenty of wet weather in this 5-day forecast. Here’s how it unfolds. A cold front drifts across the region today from northwest to southeast, and we start out with mild air ahead of it, then turn gradually colder. At the same time, low pressure heads our way from the Mid Atlantic, and hooks up with the front, moving southeast of our region tonight and to our east later Thursday. This set-up will squeeze out a decent rainfall for our region, on the order of 1 to 3 inches. While the bulk of that rainfall will occur during tonight, the event does stretch over about 24 hours, with the first raindrops around dusk today and the final raindrops later in the day Thursday, especially in southeastern areas where it lingers longer, and may even mix with a few wet snowflakes (southeastern MA) before ending. Watch for flooding issues in prone areas from this upcoming event. We get a break on Friday as a sliver of high pressure brings us dry weather, even some sun. But for our weekend, it looks like other than some potential first-thing-in-the-morning sun on Saturday, it’s to be a cloudy one, and another slug of rain comes from our next storm system Saturday night into Sunday. This one will deliver a shot of chilly air with gusty wind as it leaves the region later Sunday, and there may even be some snow showers Sunday night, a reminder that while we haven’t had much of a “winter”, that the season is still technically with us.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog morning. Rain arrives near day’s end. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind variable under 10 MPH early, S 5-15 MPH midday on.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Areas of fog. Rain, heavy at times. Lows 38-45. Wind shifting to NE up to 10 MPH but variable along the South Coast.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Steadiest rain early to mid morning tapering to occasional light rain/drizzle late morning on. Temperatures steady 38-45 except rising to 45-52 RI and southeastern MA briefly before cooling again. Wind NE 5-15 MPH with higher gusts except variable to SW for a brief time Cape Cod / Islands before shifting back to NE 15-25 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with lingering rain that may end mixed with snow southeastern MA. Breaking clouds overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially eastern coastal areas in the evening.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Partial sun, then cloudy. Highs 42-49. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in coastal areas.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with rain and areas of fog during the morning. Rain ends midday followed by breaking clouds and maybe a passing rain shower afternoon. Chance of rain and/or snow showers evening and night. Highs 46-53. Wind variable 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, becoming W 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH during the afternoon.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 11-15)

Behind low pressure comes a gusty wind, chilly air, and potentially a few snow showers March 11. Watch for a quick-moving system with a precipitation threat March 13, otherwise somewhat drier pattern next week. Coolest weather March 12, but overall temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 16-20)

Pattern as we head through the final days of winter and welcome spring (vernal equinox March 19) looks active with variable temperatures including a couple precipitation events that may include frozen or mixed.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 5-9)

A wet pattern lasts for the remainder of this week continuing this weekend. We’ll be impacted by 3 low pressure systems, the first of which will give a light to moderate rain event to the region today, especially this afternoon and evening, as the small and not-too-strong but moisture-laden low center drifts up via the Mid Atlantic. Behind that it’s mild for early Wednesday, and we have a shot at some sunny breaks to start the day. A cold front will sag southward through the region later in the day and at night, cooling it down. The next low pressure area lifts into the region, again via the Mid Atlantic, Wednesday night and Thursday. This one has the potential to produce heavier rainfall, especially from the I-95 belt eastward as it stands now (may have to tweak this heavier forecast area though before the event). Watch for the potential for short term street and small stream flooding and medium term river flooding to result from this system. A break comes on Friday as a weak area of high pressure builds in, and this may last into Saturday before the next storm system approaches with more precipitation. There’s been a medium range question regarding precipitation type for the weekend threat, but leaning toward at least a rain start for that one.

TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle. Rain arrives midday and afternoon. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain tapers off by late evening. Areas of fog. Lows 40-47. Wind E to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Patchy fog early, otherwise mostly cloudy with breaks of sun possible morning. Cloudy with rain showers afternoon. Highs 47-52 South Coast / Cape Cod, 53-58 elsewhere. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely, may be heavy at times overnight, especially I-95 eastward. Lows 38-45. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain, heaviest in the morning, tapering gradually thereafter. Temperatures steady 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH inland, 10-20 MPH coast, higher gusts, shifting to N.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partial sun. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Partial sun, then cloudy. Chance of rain late day or at night. Highs 40-47. Wind variable becoming SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 10-14)

Storm impacting the region with rain and possible mix/snow March 10 (rain favored at this point). Rain/snow showers possible as low pressure lifts away but upper level low pressure crosses the region during March 11. Drier pattern toward the middle of next week. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 15-19)

Potential unsettled weather favors early period, followed by a drying trend. Temperatures trend cooler.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 4-8)

Since yesterday many areas broke out into more sunshine than I forecast, I’ll stay optimistic for a while today and go for some breaks of sun too, but clouds will definitely become dominant and eventually overtake all areas as the day goes on as our air flow turns more easterly and low level moisture is added – despite the fact that a weak area of high pressure is in control. Either way, low pressure drifts up our way from the south by tomorrow, and we’ll have an overcast day with eventual rainfall for the region too. This system is somewhat similar to the one we saw come through on Saturday, and will exit the region Tuesday night. This leaves the possibility for a little drying, perhaps enough for some partial sun early Wednesday. This day will find us in a mild air mass, so any sun can boost the temps well beyond 50, maybe toward 60 with enough sun. But that party will end quickly as a cold front drops through the region in the evening and low pressure rides along it from the southwest during Thursday. This will bring another round of rain, and as cold air filters in as the system goes by, the rain may end mixed with snow, or even change to snow before ending in some areas. Right now, my feeling is that this will take place late enough in the precipitation that we won’t need to worry about any accumulations, but at this time of year the “surprise factor” is there, so we should keep an eye on the end of that event. High pressure builds in for Friday, and I feel a little more optimistic about at least some limited sunshine for that day, although it will remain cool.

TODAY: Lots of clouds, but breaks of sun are possible through early afternoon. A few patches of fog and drizzle especially near the coast. Highs 46-53, coolest coast. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Patchy fog/drizzle especially east of I-95. Lows 38-45. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain arrives midday and afternoon. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain tapers off by late evening. Areas of fog. Lows 40-47. Wind E to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Patchy fog early, otherwise mostly cloudy with breaks of sun possible morning. Cloudy with rain showers afternoon. Highs 50-57, coolest South Coast. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 38-45. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain, may mix with or change to snow before ending late. Highs 38-45 early, then slowly falling. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH, may be stronger along the coast.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing snow shower possible. Lows 28-35. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partial sun. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 9-13)

Probable storm with rain/mix/snow chances March 9-10 weekend. Drier trend follows early next week, but additional unsettled weather may be back as early as the middle of next week. Temperatures not far from normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 14-18)

Potential unsettled weather favors early period, followed by a drying trend. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 3-7)

There are 2 opportunities that I see for brief “bonus sunshine” to occur during the next several days. They are today (midday and afternoon, if enough dry air can flow in behind departing low pressure) and Wednesday with the potential for some clear slots in the dominant cloud cover ahead of a cold front. Otherwise, the sky is going to be cloudy most of the time through the middle of the coming week. Today, as mentioned, low pressure is exiting the region after giving a decent rainfall to the region Saturday afternoon and night. And believe it or not, this rainfall was beneficial, because we’ve been on the drier side of normal 3 out of 5 months from October through February, and abnormally dry conditions were starting to make an appearance. This would put us at risk of re-entering drought if the dry trend continues, so any rainfall is beneficial. And we’ll have other such benefits ahead from not only rainfall, but even some potential frozen stuff becoming involved before this 5-day period is done. But first, we search for elusive breaks of sun this afternoon. Will there be any? The next low pressure lifts northward from off the Mid Atlantic Coast later Monday through Tuesday. While we stay rain-free Monday, we don’t Tuesday, and it should be a wet midday and afternoon across the region, though it may take the rain a little longer to reach southeastern areas – Cape Cod mainly, due to the orientation of the rainfall associated with the low. This system departs later Tuesday night, and we get a briefly warmer push of air into our area thanks to a southwesterly wind ahead of an approaching cold front on Wednesday. It is during the morning and midday hours Wednesday that we have our next shot of sneaking in some sunshine, but again we’ll need a bit of weather luck to pull it off. Eventually, the front moves southward and produces rain showers in the region, and a heavier overcast. This front will not be charging through, just easing through, and on Thursday, low pressure is set to move along it and intensify while passing to our south. This system will bring a cold rain to the region, which may mix with and turn to snow before ending, depending on how much cold air gets involved. At Day 5, this is not a high confidence forecast nor can it be put into much detail, other than saying the greatest chance of frozen precipitation would probably be the further north and west you go, and higher in elevation you are. But even these are not set-in-stone aspects of the threat, just early-look ones, so continue to check upcoming blog posts.

TODAY: Foggy areas through mid morning, and a few patches of drizzle around, otherwise clouds dominate, but may break for sun at times. Highs 48-55. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Highs 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 40-47. Wind E to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Patchy fog early, otherwise mostly cloudy with breaks of sun possible morning. Cloudy with rain showers afternoon. Highs 50-57. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW 5-15 MPH, shifting to N late in the day from north to south.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain, may mix with or change to snow before ending late. Highs 38-45 early, then slowly falling. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH, may be stronger along the coast.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 8-12)

Dry March 8. Potential storm with rain/mix/snow chances March 9-10 weekend. Drier trend after. Temperatures near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 13-17)

Unsettled weather returns early to mid period followed by dry weather later in the period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 2-6)

The first weekend of March will be so-so. Today is a cloudy day and eventually rain overspreads the region as a small area of low pressure slides northeastward from the Mid Atlantic toward southeastern New England, passing by tonight. Rain ends overnight as low pressure starts to pull away, but it does look like this low will intensify enough to aid in a partial clearing process on Sunday as it pulls in some drier air from the north. I’m not expecting complete clearing, but at least some sun may appear. The clouds will still remain in general control as we get to Monday through Wednesday, with another couple of weather systems to impact the region. First, another small low pressure area will drift up from the south and bring some additional rainfall by Tuesday. I was optimistic this may stay off to the south and east yesterday, but not so much now. And then a cold front will sag toward the region from the north on Wednesday with additional unsettled weather. However at that time we’ll still be on the mild side of the front. One thing we won’t be dealing with anytime during this 5-day period is harsh cold as that still remains well to our north.

TODAY: Cloudy. Brief rain showers northeastern MA / southeastern NH early. Rain overspreads the region this afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain this evening, ending overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Any fog thins out but clouds linger, and may break for sun at times in the afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind E to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 48-55. Wind variable to W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 7-11)

Trending colder. Two storm systems potentially impact the region with rain/mix/snow chances, one March 7 and the other on the March 9-10 weekend.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 12-16)

Drier weather favored early period. Unsettled weather returns mid to late period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 1-5)

March opens up with a pleasant day as high pressure slips to our south. Gone are the harsh winds of yesterday, and while today will be breezy at times, it’ll be noticeably milder with plenty of sun, making it feel nice. The first weekend of the new month doesn’t hold as much niceness for us, but it won’t be all that bad either. Any sunshine we see this weekend will be generally limited to early Saturday and possibly Sunday midday and afternoon, though the Sunday sun chances are somewhat lower. We’ll also have to deal with a bout of wet weather at mid weekend, Saturday afternoon and evening, as a weak low pressure area drifts up via the Mid Atlantic, and passes just to our southeast. If we don’t get enough dry air pulled in behind this system on Sunday, the clouds will be stubborn to break and the sun chances will go by the boards. Early next week, another small and fairly weak low will hang around just to our south, but close enough to have influence on our region with lots of clouds the story again. I don’t think we’ll see much in the way of any precipitation early next week.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Clouds increase overnight. Lows 30-37. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partial sunshine early, then cloudy. Periods of rain in the afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain evening. Areas of fog develop. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to variable under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Any fog thins out but clouds linger, and may break for sun at times in the afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind variable to NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 38-45. Highs 48-55, coolest at the coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 6-10)

Mild with rain chances March 6-7. Dry, somewhat colder weather March 8. Watching potential storm for the March 9-10 weekend which includes the chance of some frozen precipitation.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 11-15)

Drier weather favored early to mid period. Unsettled weather returns later in the period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 29 – MARCH 4)

On this Leap Day 2024 we have a one-day blast of the feel of winter with a combination of wind and cold. This air mass was delivered by the strong cold front that swept across there region late last evening with a rain squall after a day of gusty winds, rain showers, and mild air. But now it’s back to reality with an air mass some 20 to 25 degrees colder than yesterday and a wind chill making it feel even colder than that. We’ll also end up with some clouds passing quickly across the sky later this morning into this afternoon, and some of those may produce snow showers. These will be induced by moisture streaming eastward from the Great Lakes region. Tonight, the wind will slacken this evening but not completely diminish. However as a small area of high pressure slides to our south and then southeast by Friday, a shift of the wind to southwest will take place, and initiate a warm-up which will be notable on Friday with an approximate 10-degree temperature rise over today’s daytime highs. It will also be the weather pick of the next several days with a fair amount of sunshine. The weekend is going to feature a lot more cloudiness, especially Saturday when some rain is also likely to arrive as a small low pressure area drifts our way via the Mid Atlantic. I’m on the fence still with Sunday’s forecast. I’m pretty certain the rain threat will be gone, but I’m not so sure we clear out very much. I’m still going for some partial sun anyway, but clouds can very well be more stubborn. It will be a modestly mild first weekend of March though, either way. Not a lot of push to systems is expected early next week either and low pressure may lurk not far away, so Monday’s forecast leans to the cloudy side at this point, but holding off on much chance of any rain at this point.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Chance of snow flurries. Highs 32-39. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing somewhat later in the day.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 30-37. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Good chance of rain, especially midday and afternoon. Patchy fog. Highs 44-51. Wind S-SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Patchy fog. Lows 37-44. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partial sunshine possible, otherwise lots of clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT & MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 38-45. Highs 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 5-9)

Additional unsettled weather with low pressure in the region until about March 7 or 8 when a drier westerly air flow will return fair weather to the region. No temperature extremes indicated, but a colder trend late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 10-14)

Potential storm signal around March 10-11. Drier trend should follow that. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 3)

A dynamic set-up is featured for the final 2 days of February, making it feel like spring then reminding you that winter is still here. A strong low pressure area passing to our north will drag a sharp cold front eastward toward the region today and across the WHW forecast area from west to east this evening. Ahead of this front comes mild air, a gusty wind, quite strong at times, and waves of rain showers. A final band of heavier rain should accompany the front and this is when some areas can see their strongest wind gusts. A rapid wind shift and temperature drop with the passage of the front may lead to the rain mixing with or changing to wet snow for a brief period of time before ending, but it could snow hard enough, especially in areas north of I-90 and west of I-95, for a quick slushy coating on some surfaces. With a temperature drop overnight, we’ll have to watch for icy areas by Thursday morning. If there’s some good news with this, it’s that a strong and gusty breeze and rapidly lowering dew point will help dry many surfaces before a freeze up can occur, but be aware just in case. Thursday itself will feel more like winter with temperatures well below what they peak at today, a gusty wind, and a sun/cloud mix. Additionally, some snow flurries may migrate into our region via the Great Lakes region. Winds settle down and any flurries end by Thursday night. High pressure slides south of the region Friday with fair, milder weather. Another low pressure area moves into the region on Saturday with a cloudy sky and a chance of some rain, but this system will be quite weak in comparison to the one passing through our region today. A sliver of dry air behind Saturday’s weak system should bring rain-free conditions Sunday but possibly some sunny intervals, though clouds may be stubborn.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic rain showers. Downpours with thunder possible. Highs 52-59, coolest South Coast. Wind S increasing to 15-25 MPH inland where gusts can exceed 40 MPH and 25-35 MPH coast where gusts can exceed 50 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers, some heavy, including the chance of a thunderstorm, during the evening, ending from west to east late evening / overnight, possibly as mixed rain/snow or a period of wet snow. Lows 25-32. Wind S 15-35 MPH, strongest coastal areas, higher gusts, shifting to W from west to east by late evening / overnight.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Chance of snow flurries. Highs 32-39. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing somewhat later in the day.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 30-37. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Patchy fog. Highs 44-51. Wind S-SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Patchy fog. Lows 37-44. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partial sunshine. Highs 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 4-8)

Additional unsettled weather with low pressure in the region until about March 7 when a drier westerly air flow will return fair weather to the region. No temperature extremes indicated, but a colder trend late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 9-13)

Fair weather to start the period, additional unsettled weather opportunities mid to late period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 2)

February has featured several mornings that started with heavy frost after a night of clear sky and light / calm wind. This morning is one of those for a good portion of the region, including right here in my own location. In fact, I’m starting to wonder if I’ve had more frost accumulation than snow accumulation this month. 😉 … Jokes aside, we have a very nice day ahead, despite an increase in cloud cover as we head through the afternoon. After a chilly early morning, temperatures will rebound nicely, with many areas cracking 50 by midday and areas away from the coast reaching well into the 50s by mid afternoon. Coastal communities will be on the cooler side as the wind will be light southeast to south – at least partially off the ocean water. Tonight, the pressure gradient tightens up ahead of an approaching cold front. This will continue through the day Wednesday too. Episodes of rain showers will occur both tonight and Wednesday. The cold front itself will not arrive until Wednesday evening when it’s due to sweep west to east across the region, accompanied by one final round of heavier rainfall. Some locations may see this rain end as a mix of precipitation or wet snow as cold air will be incoming very quickly as the front goes by. At most, a brief slushy accumulation of snow may occur on some surfaces mainly west and north of Boston Wednesday night before dry air arrives on a gusty, shifted wind. The final day of the month on Thursday (Leap Day) will feature a sun/cloud mix with a gusty wind and chilly air, made to feel colder by the wind. We welcome March on Friday with a fair and slightly milder day with less wind as high pressure sinks to the south of New England. This high will slide offshore and make way for a weak area of low pressure to lift northeastward from the Mid Atlantic toward southern New England, bringing clouds and possibly some wet weather back into the region for the beginning of the weekend on Saturday. There’s some disagreement in the medium range guidance as to the movement of this feature, so treat the outlook with a grain of salt until I can refine the timing / impact expectations.

TODAY: Sunshine fades later as clouds increase. Highs 48-53 coast, 53-58 inland. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Episodic rain showers. Lows 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts overnight.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic rain showers. Highs 52-59, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts likely.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers, some heavy, including the chance of a thunderstorm, during the evening, ending from west to east late evening / overnight, possibly as mixed rain/snow or a period of wet snow. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW from west to east.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing later in the day.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 30-37. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Patchy fog. Highs 44-51. Wind S-SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 3-7)

Optimistically calling for fair weather March 3 to finish off the first weekend of the new month, but additional unsettled weather from low pressure hanging around offshore / near the coast can occur before another trough from the west with additional wet weather sweeps eastward through the region. The period may end with dry, chilly weather and a stronger westerly air flow.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 8-12)

Fair weather to start the period, additional unsettled weather opportunities mid to late period. Temperatures above normal for the period, but may be a colder trend with time.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 1)

Some quick and notable weather changes are on our menu over the next few days to round out the month of February and welcome in March too. It breaks down like this. First, a disturbance and warm front go through the region this morning with lots of clouds and a few inconsequential rain and snow showers, followed by the return of sunshine and a milder afternoon. The mild air will be dominant through Wednesday afternoon, and up to the arrival and passage of a strong cold front Wednesday evening, we’ll be in a robust southwesterly air flow. We’ll get to enjoy a fair amount of sun for at least part of Tuesday before clouds regain control thereafter. Rounds of rain showers are slated for Tuesday evening and off and on during Wednesday, but there can be some rain-free times Wednesday too. I’m just not expecting much in the way of any sunshine on Wednesday. The strongest round of precipitation – moderate to heavy showers and even a potential thunderstorm – comes on Wednesday evening just ahead of the cold front, which will sweep across the region fairly quickly. The temperature drop associated with this frontal passage may be quick enough that the rain ends as a mix of rain/snow or even a period of wet snow in some areas, but any accumulation would be limited. We will have to watch for the formation of ice on untreated surfaces that don’t dry out by Thursday morning, as the temperature will have fallen to near or below freezing by then, especially from the Boston / Providence areas westward. Dry air, a gusty wind, and temperatures above freezing (though still in the 30s) for much of the day Thursday will eliminate any icy patches. High pressure slides quickly to our south by Friday, with fair weather, a cold start, and a milder afternoon.

TODAY: Lots of clouds with a few passing rain and/or snow showers morning followed by the return of abundant sunshine from west to east. Highs 45-52. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35, mildest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 50-57, coolest along the South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a good chance of rain showers. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic rain showers. Highs 52-59, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts likely.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers, some heavy, including the chance of thunderstorms, during the evening, ending from west to east late evening / overnight, possibly as mixed rain/snow or a period of wet snow. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW from west to east.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing later in the day.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 2-6)

Watching for a quick, semi-sneaky low pressure area that can start the first weekend of March with at least cloudiness and potentially a bit of wet weather instead of the previously dry forecast, but the majority of the first weekend of March should end up rain-free with fairly mild temperatures. Additional refining of the weekend outlook will take place in coming updates. Another opportunity for unsettled weather may present itself by the middle to latter portion of this period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 7-11)

Fair weather is most likely from the early to mid portion of this period, with unsettled weather chances increasing later on. While the period as a whole is expected to see above normal temperatures, we may experience a chill-down before it’s over with colder air seeping southward from Canada.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 25-29)

If you had to be outside early on this Sunday morning you felt one of the colder mornings we’ve had this winter – and we haven’t had all that many. As of 7:00 a.m., temperature readings range from 11 to 18 across the majority of the WHW forecast area, with slightly “milder” readings around 20 to the middle 20s across Cape Cod. The cold was due to the combination of a clear sky and nearly calm wind overnight, under a ridge of high pressure – the perfect radiational cooling set-up. Today, you’ll really be able to notice the increased sun angle as the bright sun helps with a nice temperature recovery, and lighter winds than we had yesterday make it far more pleasant to be outside. It won’t be until late in the day that we start to see some clouds appearing in the western sky, and this signals the next disturbance to pass through. This particular one is not very strong and will just bring a few rain and snow showers to the region during the first 6 to 9 hours of Monday before it moves out and is replaced by dry, milder air. The warm-up will then continue into the middle of the coming week, but with increasingly unsettled weather as a stronger south to southwest air flow arrives and another low pressure trough approaches. The greatest chances for wet weather come Tuesday night then off and on through Wednesday. Any appreciable sunshine that can occur between bouts of wet weather Wednesday may aid the temperature in making a run at 60 for some areas, especially away from the South Coast where a south and southwest wind passes over cool ocean water. We still have to nail down the timing, but a strong cold front is due to pass through from west to east sometime Wednesday night or early Thursday, accompanied by a heavier band of showers and possible thunderstorms, and initiating a wind shift and sharp temperature drop for the final (extra) day of the month as dry weather returns.

TODAY: Lots of sun but some clouds appear later in the day from the west. Highs 36-43. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, then SW 5-15 MPH late day.

TONIGHT: Clouds increase. Overnight rain and snow showers possible mainly along the South Coast with a few light snow showers possible to the north of there. Lows 24-31 in the evening, then a slow temperatures rise overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Eastern half of WHW area starts the day with clouds and passing snow/rain showers, then lots of sun with passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35, mildest along the South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 47-54, coolest along the South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Episodic rain showers. Highs 53-60 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts possible.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Temperatures fall to 30s. Wind W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing later in the day.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 1-5)

The trend for the early days of March is for high pressure to be in control with dry weather and a moderating temperature trend for the few days and an increasing chance of unsettled weather toward the end of this period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 6-10)

Higher chances for unsettled weather early to mid period followed by a return to fair weather. No major temperature anomalies indicated at this time.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

We will have a dry final weekend of February. Some stubborn cloud cover will be around to start the day today but eventually the sun will take over as dry air wins out. Along with this will come a gusty wind making it feel colder than the already below normal temperatures. The wind comes courtesy of the airflow between low pressure that departed the region yesterday and high pressure that is approaching via the Great Lakes. This high pressure area will move over the region tonight, and while shutting down the wind it will also shove down the temperature under a clear sky with bright moonlight. The full moon actually occurred just after midnight today but still appears pretty full in the sky tonight. You can’t really notice it, but this is a mini moon aka the smallest looking full moon of the year because it is the full moon in which the moon is furthest away from the Earth. After a cold start on Sunday, with less wind and full sunshine well into the afternoon it will feel considerably less cold than today will despite only a modest rise in temperature over today. A quick moving disturbance will traverse the region late Sunday night through Monday morning, and may produce a few rain and snow showers near the South Coast with a quick snow flurry possible to the north. This system will lead milder air into the region as dry weather takes over again for the remainder of the day Monday, along with a gusty southwest breeze. The southwesterly air flow that is introduced on Monday will become more established Tuesday and Wednesday, transporting more mild air into the region, but the price we will pay for this will be episodes of wet weather Tuesday night and Wednesday. We may be able to salvage several hours of dry weather and at least partial sun on Wednesday while we are in this warmer southwesterly air flow. If that is the case, 60° is going to be within reach, except in coastal areas where a southwest wind comes off the water. You know what that means at this time of year and into the spring.

TODAY: Lots of clouds eventually give way to lots of sun. Highs 32-39 this morning, with a slow temperature drop midday on. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts likely.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 11-18 though not as cold in a few urban areas and immediate coastal locations. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early, diminishing overnight.

SUNDAY: Sunny through mid afternoon, then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind variable under 10 MPH morning, W 5-15 MPH afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Overnight rain and snow showers possible mainly along the South Coast with a few light snow showers possible to the north of there. Lows 24-31 in the evening, then a slow temperatures rise overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Early clouds may produce a rain/snow shower in RI or southeastern MA, then sun and passing clouds. Highs 41-48. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35, mildest along the South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 47-54, coolest along the South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Episodic rain showers. Highs 53-60 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts possible.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 29 – MARCH 4)

While there continues to be some uncertainty on timing, a strong cold front is expected to come through sometime on Leap Day including a band of rain showers and even possible thunderstorms. This boundary will initiate an abrupt wind shift and temperature drop as it goes by the region. I continue to lean toward a progressive scenario where the front moves well offshore quickly enough not to allow additional low pressure to come up and bring more unsettled weather. So the outlook for the first few days of March is for dry weather perhaps a ling chill to start and then a moderating trend.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 5-9)

This remains a low confidence forecast. Best chance of unsettled weather mid period.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

Some wet weather will be with us today as a low pressure area passes by to the north and drags a slow-moving cold front across the region. A drying trend will begin this afternoon, progressing slowly from west to east, with an additional wave of low pressure on the front prolonging the rainfall across Cape Cod into this evening before it dries out there later tonight. The weekend will be dry and cold, with plenty of wind Saturday between departing low pressure and approaching high pressure, and more tranquil weather by Sunday as high pressure moves over the region. This high will then progress out of the region Sunday night as a low pressure trough approaches and swings through the region late Sunday evening through early morning Monday. This system will produce a few snow showers, with rain or snow showers closer to the South Coast where temperatures will be marginal (liquid vs. frozen). The remainder of Monday will be dry and less chilly than the previous 2 days. When we get to the end of the 5-day period, there’s a little uncertainty on timing, but I’m expecting clouds to advance on Tuesday ahead of a larger scale trough, and wet weather may be here before Tuesday has concluded, though that timing may need to be adjusted in future forecasts.

TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of light fog this morning. Rain mainly north and west of Boston to start, progressing from I-95 eastward while areas to the west dry out later. Highs 40-47. Wind variable to W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lingering rain over Cape Cod during the evening. Watch for areas of black ice where the ground doesn’t dry out quickly enough. Lows 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39 in the morning, with a slow temperature drop midday on. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts likely.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 11-18 though not as cold in a few urban areas and immediate coastal locations. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early, diminishing overnight.

SUNDAY: Sunny through early afternoon, then becoming variably cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind variable under 10 MPH morning, W 5-15 MPH afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Snow showers probable overnight, except rain or snow showers South Coast. Lows 24-31 in the evening, with a slow temperatures rise overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Early clouds may produce a rain/snow shower in RI or southeastern MA, then sun and passing clouds. Highs 41-48. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain late-day. Highs 43-50. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 3)

There’s some uncertainty on the timing of frontal boundaries, but leaning toward a warm front having passed by and a cold front still to the west allowing a mainly fair but windy and mild February 28, and a strong cold front passing by on Leap Day with rain showers and gusty, shifting winds. Details of this will be worked out in future forecast updates. Also, previously questioned whether or not additional low pressure might impact the region with a rain/snow threat to start March, but as of today’s update I am leaning toward a chilly but drier solution for the first few days of the month. Again this is not high confidence and still subject to change.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 4-8)

Low confidence outlook is for a dry start to the period, then looking at a potential longer duration unsettled weather event mid to late period.