Monday July 7 2025 Forecast (7:04AM)

97 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 7-11)

The holiday weekend is over (unless you extended it) and we move into the heart of summer now. And today will certainly feel like it with heat and high humidity thanks to high pressure offshore. The increase in moisture, combined with solar heating, can lead to a few pop up showers and/or thunderstorms this afternoon, although most places will not see anything. Any of that activity dissipates this evening, but the clouds will increase overnight with both the approach of the remains of T.S. Chantal from the Southwest and a cold front from the northwest. The former will bring a batch of showers from pre-dawn to mid morning Tuesday, but heaviest and most concentrated activity is likely to occur over Cape Cod and the Islands. The latter will increase the shower and thunderstorm chances from northwest to southeast from midday through afternoon. With some sunshine, it will still be able to heat up and also it will be quite humid. Showers/storms will simmer down and diminish Tuesday night as the front pushes through, then settles to a stop near or off the South Coast Wednesday into late week. A little press of high pressure from the north will keep us mainly dry Wednesday with just a possible shower to the south and west of Boston. A wave of low pressure moving eastward along the front to our south will increase shower chances later Thursday into Friday. Wednesday through Friday will also be noticeably cooler than early week.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs 86-93 except 78-85 South Coast. Dew point 70+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Any early isolated showers dissipate. Shower/thunderstorm chances increase especially east of I-95 overnight. Lows 71-78. Dew point near 70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH becoming variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely, favoring eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA early, then redeveloping from northwest to southeast midday through afternoon. Highs 82-89 except 75-82 South Coast. Dew point 70+. Wind variable to SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. A shower or thunderstorm possible early. Lows 66-73. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Lots of clouds / partial sun. A shower possible south and west of Boston. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point 60+. Wind N to E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, mainly in the afternoon. Chance of a thunderstorm. Highs 71-78. Dew point in 60s. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, mainly morning and midday. Chance of a thunderstorm. Highs 71-78. Dew point in 60s. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 12-16)

The July 12-13 weekend will be governed by weak high pressure and mainly dry, though a spot shower or t-storm can’t be ruled out July 12 as an upper disturbance passes by. A modest warm-up but no high heat is expected. Disturbance brings increased shower / thunderstorm chances early next week with a drying trend by midweek.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 17-21)

Through mid period, moderate humidity and temperatures, mainly fair weather with high pressure to the north dominant, keeping low pressure to the south far enough away to limit shower chances. Later in the period some indications of high pressure building aloft with hotter weather again.

97 thoughts on “Monday July 7 2025 Forecast (7:04AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you tK
    73 overnight. Pretty warm, not like previous heat but plenty warm enough.

  6. Watched the Gold Cup final between Mexico and the U.S. It was a good game. Despite not having many of their best players, the U.S. put up a fight against a top Mexican squad. But for the U.S. to really advance in soccer on the biggest stage at home in next year’s World Cup, it’s crucial that there be a mentality shift.

    A Belichickian “no days off” motto wouldn’t be a bad idea. The national team needs to be a cohesive unit. The Gold Cup represented perhaps the last true opportunity to become that unit before next June. All of the players should have been at the Gold Cup (except the injured ones).

    In soccer, off seasons are very short – often only a few weeks for the star players. It’s accepted by all the greats who play the game. Practically no-one skips a chance to represent the national team. It’s considered the highest honor. As one Dutch star once said, “we’ll have plenty of time to rest once we retire at 35.”

    Thankfully, one of the U.S. players, Malik Tillman, exemplified what needs to happen. He played at a high level with PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands (won the league title in May), went to the U.S. in early June to participate in the Gold Cup. He now has about 10 to 14 days off before his Dutch club begins its next season. That’s dedication. He gets it.

    1. Interesting. I am afraid I have never gotten into Soccer, but I must admit I enjoyed the hell out of all 3 seasons of Ted Lasso, so I guess I may come around at some point. 🙂

    2. Love the game and watch whenever I can! The 2-1 loss was tough but I keep watching.

    2. This is very cool. Thank you. Medford and Watertown surprised but having looked at the map should not have with the Charles and Mystic Rivers. Does anyone know why just those two as both rivers flow through lots of towns?

  12. The weather this growing season has been wonderful for our fruit production.

    The strawberries are winding down. The black raspberries are unstoppable, red raspberries and blueberries are starting up, and golden raspberries (my favorite) are going strong. We’re also flooded by mulberries, currants and many others.

    I just picked some this morning:
    https://ibb.co/1Gk423dx

    It looks like it might be time for another pie and some preserves:
    https://ibb.co/FbXW7gjk

      1. Yes, my wife has been at this for most of the 20 years since we moved to Lunenburg. On a year like this, we often have friends over to pick for themselves.

      1. To me these are the toughest words we have had since the start. I’m waiting for my average to slip from 4 to 5.

    3. Two for me today. I’m tellin’ ya, slate as your starting word is the best….

    1. Holy CRAP!! How does a river possibly rise nearly 23 feet. Imagine the Charles or the Concord or the Merrimack rising 23 feet overnight!! it would be catastrophic for sure!!!!!

      1. I was thinking the same thing. I can’t even imagine. These rivers meander thru so many towns.

        1. I was curious, so I googled a topographical map for that area and it has a bunch of 500 to 700 ft hills surrounding the eno river basin. I imagine torrential rains sliding right down those hills will cause that kind of rise. Plus, the river is probably narrow and not deep and that contributes a quicker rise.

  17. Air masses are interesting sometimes.

    Yesterday for most of the day, the dps crept up from 63 to 68F.

    But yesterday evening, a good area of southeast and eastern Mass had several hrs where the dps fell to 61F or 62F. But, by pre sunrise, they were 70F or higher.

    Either some mixing or some less humid air over some very chilly blobs of cool ocean advecting in. I’m not sure but it was interesting to see it in the Obs.

    1. Yes, I noticed that as well, not that I was complaining!!!

      Pretty humid today, for sure!

  21. JPD the South Coast showers are tropical moisture over an induced boundary between ocean air and the air mass over land..

    I actually introduced this as something to watch for Monday on a blog late last week while most forecasts out the just had today as “sunny “.

    #Meteorology

    2. Cool, thanks
      It really is creeping Northward. I wonder how far those showers will get? 🙂

    1. I was just looking at the clouds down that way. Sun out here for the moment but we are rimmed with clouds

    1. Just had a downpour here. Slowed down but still raining. Not registering on gauge so suspect it was blown over.

  25. Rain took temp from 85 to 79. I’d have bet it took DP to 99 but it’s just a mere 75.

    Tons of clouds but blue sky in between

  26. AI is making me very lazy

    Based on available information, June 2025 ranked as the 3rd warmest June on record globally. The only years with warmer Junes were 2023 and 2024.
    More specifically:
    Globally:
    It was the third warmest June since 1940 in the ERA record.
    The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for June 2025 was +0.48 degrees Celsius departure from the 1991-2020 mean.
    Regionally:
    Europe likely experienced one of its top 5 warmest Junes on record.
    France saw its second-hottest June since 1900.
    Morocco recorded its third hottest June ever.
    In the United States, around 240 million people experienced a warmer-than-average June.
    Numerous locations in the U.S. broke daily or monthly temperature records, particularly in the Midwest and East Coast.
    Seven states in the Northeast tied or broke monthly high temperature records on June 24th.

  27. 48 years ago today (7-7-77), Mac and I had our first real date. We’d been friends for several years. Mac surprised me with tickets to the cohasset music circus to see my very very very favorite singer, Mac Davis. His opening act was not familiar to us but we left saying how talented she was and she was going places……and sure enough, Dolly sure did make an amazing and well deserved name for herself.

    1. Climbing back to 82. Dp is 130….well, it says 77 (no doubt in honor of my post above 😉 ) but I’m sure when I walk out the door and hit what feels like a brick wall that it is really 130.

  29. I’m honestly not posting this to be political. I’m curious if we know what this new system is

    Noem: “Quite frankly, the National Weather Service under President Trump has been working to put in new technology and a new system because it has been neglected for years. It’s an ancient system that needed to be upgraded, and so President Trump recognized that right away and got to work on it … but that installation is not complete.”

  30. Further negative progress for mom today.
    She’s developed pneumonia. They are treating aggressively.

    More later…

    No changes on the weather to comment on right now.

    1. Oh now. So sorry to hear. Sending positive vibes that she responds well to the treatment.

        1. So sorry about your mom, pneumonia is not a good sign. Here’s hoping for the best!

    3. Oh,TK, I am so very sorry. Prayers that she fights this and is back in the road to recovery in no time

  31. Took another brief walk again this afternoon. I didn’t enjoy it nearly as much as yesterday. The mugginess overcame the moderate breeze.

  35. TK, very sorry to hear about your mom. I hope things turn around for the better soon with the treatment she is getting. Try and stay positive!

  36. Tonight the Sox play the Rockies, the team with the worst record in the MLB. That said, overconfidence would not be good.

    1. Indeed it is. ❤️

      But 11 also. I’m sure I said this before. I’m not really superstitious From the time I was a teen 11:11 gave me a very bad feeling. Mac would laugh and say it’s 11:11 isn’t it when I’d sit on the edge of the bed before going to sleep.

      Mac passed on 11/11. But oddly the number 11 now makes me feel as if he is close

      1. Gosh, that would make me superstitious.

        My birthday contains 2 of your lucky numbers, 11/7.

  41. Sorry to read about your mom TK! It is incredibly difficult when we feel powerless when our parents age and go through such difficult health challenges. Prayers for both her and you!

  44. Thanks TK. So sorry about Mom, hang in there and big hugs to her and you.

    Thoughts on the rain today timing wise? 6zHRRR seems to hold off any rain until this afternoon in Boston? Do folks agree? Thanks in advance.

    1. I don’t think Boston will see anything this morning. There may be a brief flare of showers / storms near the city sometime the first half of the afternoon, after which the activity may shift more to the south. Some could creep back up this way later this evening…

      It’s going to be kind of complex, evolution-wise.

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