Wednesday October 8 2025 Forecast (7:13AM)

96 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 8-12)

A cold front moves through the region today bringing showery weather, which tapers off from west to east this afternoon with a late-day clearing trend, especially from the I-95 belt westward. Clearing will take longer to reach the coastal plain, especially southeastern MA and RI, but these areas do so this evening. The front leads a much cooler air mass into the region, driven by Canadian high pressure, which while centered to our west will help generate a gusty breeze from the north tonight and Thursday, but as the high center builds over our region Thursday night, the wind will drop off, and the temperature will drop down. Some areas see a freeze, many areas see frost, and some see the end of the growing season Friday morning, though it will be a little “less chilly” along the coast where freeze and frost is less likely. Fair weather continues with a cool day Friday and a milder Saturday as the high slides offshore. Sunday, low pressure to our south will be drifting northward, and the question has been and remains “how far north”. I do think at this point our region being blanketed by its overcast is quite likely. There is also a decent chance that its rain shield makes its way into at least a portion of our region before the day ends. A cooler easterly air flow will become established as the low pressure area gets closer to the region.

TODAY: Cloudy with numerous to widespread showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm through midday, then tapering off west to east early afternoon with a mid to late afternoon clearing trend starting west and making it into the I-95 belt with increasing sun and still some passing areas of clouds as well. Highs 64-71 by midday, but slowly falling temperature from west to east during the afternoon hours. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with gusts 20-25 MPH, shifting to NW from west to east across the region.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 27-34 inland, 35-42 coast. Wind N under 10 MPH then calm.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Radiaton fog patches. Lows 33-40. Wind calm then SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouds arrive south to north. Lows 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouds thicken. Chance of rain southern areas in the afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible especially coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 13-17)

Leaning toward low pressure being close enough for breezy, cool conditions with a chance of rain October 13, then pulling away with fair, cool weather into the middle of next week and a slight moderating trend as high pressure builds in late week.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 18-22)

Overall zonal pattern but with a little more amplification possible, bringing a couple shower threats to the region. Timing of these is uncertain this far in advance. Temperatures variable – close to normal for the period.

96 thoughts on “Wednesday October 8 2025 Forecast (7:13AM)”

  1. Good morni g and thank you TK.

    69 overnight, 70 now.
    As of a little bit ago, no rain here yet.

    Ocean temp: 63 (Boston bouy)

    Wordle: 5

  2. Thanks, TK.

    Aaron Judge saved the Yankees’ season. He’s a transformative player. Sure, he’s had some subpar post-season performances. But I believe that he and Ohtani are the faces of the sport.

    1. Agreed.

      100 mph on the far inside corner and he crushed that. The majority of MLB players get jammed and hit a weak ground ball to 3rd.

  5. I got Wordle in three. The string of words that I used was pretty funny. If I remember, I’ll post it tomorrow.

  7. I love watching Judge and Ohtani play. Not a fan of either the Yankees or Dodgers. But I love the sport. And I appreciate greatness.

      1. Same place out off site clinic on Bickford street . Nobody wants the job up here so they are rotating guys up here . Extremely easy , but way to quiet

            1. A hah. Gotcha. That’s is a fair distance from my house as I am in a different section of JP.

              I do visit that Stop and Shop on occasion.

              1. Jobs up for grabs but it not for me . It’s good to come down every few weeks like I am until a permanent replacement is found .

  9. Thank you TK

    Down to 63 from an overnight high of 69. 62 DP. I had Tom’s insomnia so when I did finally fall asleep, I missed the 1.07 rain

  10. Thanks TK.

    Brief lull in the rain here in Coventry but another batch of heavier showers moving in. 0.40″ in the rain gauge so far.

    1. We are in a lull also with more looking to be on the way. With 1.07 here so far I wonder if we will hit 2”

      1. Wow, more than here. Though we are up to 0.60″ now.

        Did you receive my email response to you on Sunday?

    1. Up a degree from a short time ago to 64 here but still down from our overnight of 69. 62 DP holding steady

  15. Thanks TK. There is definitely hyping of the late weekend storm being a wind event. What are your thoughts on that? Also seems rare that there may be a nor’easter as well as hurricane the Atlantic at same time

  21. Snow lovers and enthusiasts, you want this 500 mb setup later in winter, when you also should have a polar or arctic high to the north of New England.

    I am so impressed with this ‘bowling ball of energy’ (500 mb low) coming out of Canada and dropping into the Great Lakes.

    If its that strong and phases perfectly with the southern stream energy, then that is a recipe for explosive development.

    I do feel like some of the models show an expansive mid latitude storm at first and then over time, you have the low pressure itself kind of lag to the south and it looks more compact, as if the models are simulating transition from a mid latitude cyclone to at least a sub tropical one.

    2. Looks like the 12z Euro has finally come around to the GFS/ICON/UKMET solution.

      Looks like a rainy/wind blown second half of the holiday weekend for SNE.

  22. Pretty wild statistic referencing Judge’s homerun:

    On pitches thrown:
    – 99+ MPH
    – 1.15+ feet from center of plate (in or out)

    Hitters have seen 12,235 such pitches in the tracking era since 2008. And this is the only home run.

    Judge is a big guy, too. To turn on a fastball that quickly. Wow!

    1. I’m amazed by both Judge’s performance and the fact that such data is now available.

  23. Allow me a cranky moment, regarding the storm potential…

    I don’t like the phrase “confidence is increasing”. It’s insanely over-used.

    I don’t like the phrase “all eyes turn to…” regarding a storm. No, they don’t. We’re watching other things too. 😛

    And why the need to nickname a storm that hasn’t formed yet? I saw someone online call it the “October Howler”. How about just “East Coast Storm Potential” for now? Yup, that is MUCH BETTER!

    Ok, I feel better now, thanks all. 😉

    1. Hmmm. I need to order it better. 🙂

      Chart created with Power BI and Python with an Excel spreadsheet as a dataset.

      1. Cool. I’ve yet to see anyone who has shared stats who does not have 4 as the largest slice.

  25. As I said last night Aaron Judge finally had a postseason moment with the three run home run to tie the game. The pitching matchup is in the Yankees favor as the Blue Jays are using their bullpen the entire game. I think winner take all game in Toronto Friday night.

    1. Someone told me that the same Yankee rookie pitcher that pitched a gem against the Red Sox in the final game is starting tonight. Is this correct?

      1. Philip that is correct. Can Schlittler will be starting . This is the reason Yankees have the advantage in the pitching matchup tonight. The Blue Jays will be using their bullpen to get all 27 outs.

  26. As for the “confidence is increasing” statement, it just so happens the tv met on Ch. 7 used it this afternoon. 😉

    NWS always uses it in their online discussions.

    Yes TK, imo you are being a bit too cranky. 🙂

    I may be out of line but haven’t you used it in your discussions from time to time? Correct me if I’m wrong on that. 😉

    1. I seldom use that phrase directly as I quoted it – maybe a few times in my entire career. I avoid it like the plague now. I hate it.

      It’s exceedingly overused. I simply don’t like it, and I’m not going to start liking it either. 🙂

      P.S. if you ever catch me using it, call me out, and I’ll plead guilty to hypocrisy. 😉

          1. I don’t have anything specific in mind. I just hate that phrase. 🙂 I think a good method is to just change it up – use variety, the way I do.

            1. Fair enough. When I listen to a report a few days out, I know it isn’t written in stone. If a met were to say they had more confidence the next day, that would resonate with me.

  29. Tigers force a deciding Game 5. Kind of amazing considering how awful they were in Sept.

    Cubs are still alive. Force a Game 4 against Milwaukee.

  30. And Bill Belichick has been hired to be the next coach of the Nantucket High School football team.

  31. The hype really is growing for Sunday Monday threat. Not sure whether to laugh or get annoyed

    1. The third reaction, in this particular scenario is to respect that hype a bit.

      This system has a high ceiling potential for 2 big reasons ……

      It has a very strong 500 mb northern disturbance which, if it phases correctly with the southern stream disturbance, can really strengthen a surface low.

      The 2nd issue is a strengthening 1,030 mb passing just north of New England which is going to create a large pressure gradient that eastern New England might be sitting in the middle of and that would place strong winds over eastern and south coastal areas of New England.

      Options include the storm’s fury impacting a bit further south down the coast.

      But the ceiling potential is, in my opinion, higher than usual.

      2. Friend of mine has to go to Long Island Sunday afternoon by ferry. Not sure if that’s going to happen.

    1. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2025100812&fh=114&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

      And here’s factor 2, a 1030 mb high to the northeast of New England.

      Can see that pressure gradient in all those closely packed isobars square over New England, in this simulation. Doesn’t mean this is exactly going to happen, but something like it should happen with respect to wind because that high is going to be there and the low will be to our south.

  33. Jays need to finish this off.

    But tonight is the beauty of baseball.

    On paper coming into this game, clear advantage to the Yankees with momentum and a starting pitcher vs the jays who went with a bullpen game.

    5-1 jays in the top of the 8th and they are threatening to score more.

  34. This Blue Jays bullpen so far has shut down the Yankees.
    Cam Schlittler pitched well only giving up two runs. He just didn’t get offensive support.

  36. Yankees look like they’ll get eliminated.

    With their lineup and certainly decent pitching, they should have won the division handily and at least gotten to the ALCS. There’s something a bit dysfunctional about the team. Is it Boone’s fault? No. But could the team be better? Yes.

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