Friday October 17 2025 Forecast (7:19AM)

68 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 17-21)

All that’s left of the ocean storm that sent clouds into eastern areas yesterday, provided a really nice sunset for some areas, and sent some showers across Cape Cod yesterday, are lingering clouds on Cape Cod for a part of today, but these will clear out as the storm moves further away out to sea during the day. A north-south elongated high pressure area builds toward our region today with fair weather but a cool breeze, then the high builds overhead tonight and Saturday with a chilly night and Saturday morning, then a milder afternoon Saturday. The high then slides offshore Sunday with a modest warm-up. Sunshine will be fairly abundant but with patches of clouds around from low pressure heading through the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes this weekend, with more cloudiness evident as we get to later on Sunday. The initial low pressure area will send a front in our direction Sunday night and Monday, but another low pressure area will develop along that front and quickly strengthen, delivering some rainfall on Monday. Currently, it appears that while this will be a relatively small low pressure area, it will mature right overhead and this can prolong the rainfall threat throughout the daylight hours of Monday, instead of what earlier looked like it could be a quicker cut-off and partial clearing. We should get some partial clearing in by Tuesday with a weak ridge of high pressure between that system and another low not far behind it, threading the needle a bit.

TODAY: Lingering cloudiness Cape Cod this morning before clearing there. Sunshine elsewhere with a few passing fair weather clouds during the afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing late-day.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 61-68. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Rain probable west of I-95 by daybreak. Lows 51-58. Wind S 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain likely including the slight chance of a thunderstorm morning and midday, then intermittent rain and drizzle with areas of fog afternoon. Highs 58-65 in the morning but may fall back slightly during the afternoon. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clouds break. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Areas of fog early, otherwise partly sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 22-26)

A broad trough over the Northeast provides opportunities for showers as low pressure and frontal systems move through the region October 22 and 24. High pressure builds in with fair weather for the October 25-26 weekend. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 27-31)

There’s been a lot of inconsistency in the guidance between runs of the same model and especially between different models, and this is never helpful in using this guidance to determine the medium range pattern. When I see drastic changes day to day I tend to leave my outlook similar to the previous day, and this is currently for an overall drier look to the pattern but still a system or two to watch for brief unsettled weather at some point. More defining and refining of the outlook to come…

68 thoughts on “Friday October 17 2025 Forecast (7:19AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK

    46 here this morning

    Ocean temp: 58 (Boston bouy)

    Wordle: 5
    Thought I had it at 2,3 and 4
    Nope had to get one more additional word before it was correct.

        1. I think when you have multiple choices where only one letter ends up making the difference that it comes down to more luck than skill. Older wordles rarely had those. Now it’s very common

    3. I got it in three.

      I had nothing on the first guess. At least it helped by eliminating five letters. 🙂

      1. Now that is impressive!! I wanted it in 2, but it didn’t like my valid word. Didn’t like my valid word on 3 and 4 as well.
        Not till the 5th guess was Wordle satisfied with my guess.
        Wordle and I do NOT get along well. 🙂 🙂 🙂

        I had 3 letters on 1st guess, 2 in the correct position. So I was primed to get it in 2. NOPE. 3? NOPE 4? NOPE
        5? Yes, FINALLY!!!!! yup I had 4 valid words, and only the last one entered was correct.

        Pretty funny, actually. I guess that is a better way of looking at it.

        Thanks for allowing a Wordle rant. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  3. 0z euro still shows a tropical system down around Eastern Cuba at 360 hours. This has been pretty consistent. If that were to verify, not sure what would happen from there.

    Will continue to watch.

    Wouldn’t be a hoot if it made it up here as a strong extra tropical system running into cold air and producing snow over parts of Bew Ebgland

    2. Most interesting. The question is: Does it mean anything?
      A cold Winter? A snowy Winter?
      or just plain early leaf drop?

            1. Your tree has really grown over the past 4 years Vicki. That’s what I thought you were pointing out with your photos.

              Yes, the drought has dulled the leaves on most trees, not just yours.

  9. Barrow, AK had its first accumulating snow a few weeks ago.

    Looks like the comparatively lower elevation to surrounding areas of downtown Fairbanks, AK is having its first accumulating snow on non pavements this morning.

  11. The 12z GFS run could be fun re: fantasy hurricane, because at hr 219, there is nothing imminent at 500 mb to send it well OTS.

      1. This, I would think, indicates a chance at a pacific airmass repeatedly dominating North America, which makes sense with that still warmer than avg area of SST in the north Pacific.

        That north pacific northern jet should be dominant for a while yet.

  16. Here at mid October I am now entering the process of more thoroughly gathering my puzzle pieces for the winter forecast from WHW, which is about 5 weeks away from being posted.

    No hints yet. 🙂

    1. One thing I will add…

      CPC is forecasting La Nina to persist at least through January, possibly through February.

      Virtually every reliable indicator says La Nina will fade to neutral by early January.

      1. I keep seeing a lot of Warmer predictions like I had mentioned to you a few weeks ago , above warm to be precise

        1. The only one saying that is CPC and for the early part of winter. There are not alot, at least from legitimate sources. Keep an eye on the sources. No local media has issued a winter forecast yet. CPC issues a long lead outlook every month (4th Thursday). It’s not even really an “offical winter forecast”. It’s just a forecast for the 3 month period Dec thru Feb. It’s available monthly, year round.

          If you can link the other ones you have seen, I’d appreciate that.

  17. WR Stephon Diggs “questionable” due to chest injury.

    Might have known this run too good to be true! 🙁

    2. How does one player’s questionable status (that isn’t actually that any longer) mean the run of wins is over? You have them counted out of Sunday’s game because of that? Heh!

      1. Thanks Arod for the update. This morning it was a different story.

        No TK, I had not counted them out of Sunday’s game in the least. It’s just he’s an important part of the offense is all. I realize that in football it’s “next man up” but why not have your best player out there?

        Also, when I heard the word “chest” injury it’s only naturally to be concerned. For all I know it could be a season ending injury.

        Also, I was merely posting the condition of a player which I and others here have done. Diggs IS a starting player. I don’t understand why you assumed I had totally given up on the team after 6 games no less.

        C’mon TK, I’m not THAT bad! 🙂

        1. I think they win this week.

          Also I know you’re not that bad. I was just razzin’ ya. You’re a good guy!

  18. TK – My problem is that I don’t know what La Niña or “neutral” means for the upcoming winter.

    Over the years I’ve heard some La Niñas bringing lots of snow, others hardly any. Does “neutral” mean whatever Mother Nature wants to do?

    This is why I stopped putting in a snow amount for the Snowfall Contest. When I predict high it’s low and vice versa. Drives me nuts.

  20. The Mariners are one win away from making it to the W.S.

    The Dodgers can punch their ticket with a win tonight and they are currently up 4-0 over the Brewers in the 5th.

    Bruins lost a high-scoring game in Vegas last night, 6-5. I expected a tough game, but it was unfortunate that the Bruins gave up a short-handed goal. It ended up being the difference. That mistake cost them that game.

    My Woburn High School football team trounced Belmont on the road tonight, 50-0. Poor Belmont has been outscored 179-28 over six games and are 0-6.

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