Monday November 24 2025 Forecast (8:41AM)

76 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 24-28)

It turns out our forecast is fairly straightforward, after all the noise has been filtered out, for Thanksgiving Week. Behind a weak disturbance that went by yesterday, we have a seasonably chilly, sun/cloud mix kind of day with a gusty breeze today behind departing low pressure. A weak high pressure area moves across there region later today and tonight then offshore Tuesday as the warm front extending from low pressure entering the Great Lakes moves our way. This front will bring increasing clouds and eventually a period of rain Tuesday evening. Wednesday, we find ourselves in the warm sector of this low with a rain shower chance, but also plenty of rain-free time. The cold front trailing the low which be heading into southeastern Canada passes by our region at night. This sets us up for a breezy, cooler, but dry Thanksgiving Day on Thursday. Colder air behind that low pressure system will continue to work in through Friday which will be a rather windy day, with a chance of a passing snow flurry as a weak trough moves through the region. So while we have changeable weather, we don’t really have any major impacts from it regarding travel before, during, and after Thanksgiving, and all of the holiday-related activities (football games, road races, dinner visits, shopping excursions).

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Clouds return overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind calm evening, S up to 10 MPH overnight.

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 43-50 evening, then rising slowly overnight. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Areas of fog early. Highs 55-62. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY (THANKSGIVING): Sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Chance of a passing snow flurry. Highs 38-45. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 29 – DECEMBER 3)

The remainder of Thanksgiving Weekend looks generally dry with a sun/cloud mix Saturday November 29, below normal temps, and a gusty breeze. Sunday November 30 features increasing clouds but less wind as the next trough approaches. A brief warm-up, a sharp cold frontal passage with rain/snow shower chances, and a chill-down highlight the first few days of December with more detail to come for those days.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 4-8)

We’ll watch for some unsettled weather (rain/mix/snow chances) while our area is near the border of warmer air associated a ridge of high pressure off the US Southeast Coast and a larger reservoir of cold air across the north central US and much of Canada. It’s too soon to figure out any details with this set-up.

76 thoughts on “Monday November 24 2025 Forecast (8:41AM)”

  7. Wordle a four. Darn JPD. And Tom if I don’t slow down, I too often will add letters I already knew didn’t work.

  8. Thank you TK. Looking at the very thick frost at 4:00 am, I thought we’d broken the low of 22. I was a tad surprised to see we had a low of only 30.

    Up to 43 now

  9. Thanks TK !

    Rescued a 6 this morning (Monday) on Wordle.

    Very lucky, I had 2 letters through 5 guesses.

    I’ve failed and played better.

    I was repeating letters I already knew weren’t in the word or repeated a letter in the wrong spot, so I’ll take that 6, happily.

  10. Can I just guess for Boston snow total ( not sure if I post here or not ) Boston snow total my best guess is 24.7

      1. No thanks Vicki I’ll just go with Boston , thank you for moving it . I have a feeling we could get a tad bit more snow this year that’s why I went higher .

    1. Wow!!! 3 is superb for today
      and Vicki, 4 is great!!

      I was hopelessly lost. Should have had it in 6 at least, but NOPE couldn’t even do that. This game is not for me!!!!

  12. I posted a similar web cam yesterday, but I though this was worth a repeat, except this is just a screen shot. Downtown Flagstaff, AZ with Mt. Humphrey’s (Arizona’s highest mountain at 13,992′ , and the San Francisco peaks in the back ground.)

    https://ibb.co/LDRxj6NK

  14. Looking forward to DAYS 11-15 when the first “battleground” of warm-cold air masses begins. 🙂 ❄️

    1. Don’t automatically assume that means snow at your location. There are a LOT of unknowns going into that period.

      Early December is still autumn, and is not a normally snowy time for our area unless the pattern is perfectly aligned for it.

      1. No, I understand. We have a long ways to go! I’m in no way expecting a blockbuster snowstorm anytime soon, if at all this upcoming winter. 🙂

        1. Thing is, with “blockbusters” .. I never try to forecast how many we may or may not have.

          There’s a very loose rule of thumb I use for the chance of them occurring in a season, loosely based on the indices, starting with ENSO, but I don’t bring it up in general because it’s really not possible to do.

        1. It certainly is a colder solution overall, even before December 4th.

          That makes me skeptical until we see this (the set-up of cold leading up to December 4th) repeated by other guidance.

  15. Thank you TK! Very happy that it is expected to be dry on Thursday. I can handle it being chilly but the torrential rain last year during the football game was brutal!

    Wordle: It will be an honor to drive the train with AROD today!

    1. I was thoroughly soaked at Plymouth and then Winchester last year. Two soakers at the biggest Thanksgiving-related outdoor activities. This year it will only be 1 of 2.

  16. This is your reminder from myself and James Spann that “Deterministic guidance beyond day 4 means little or nothing.” 🙂

  18. Through 23 days of November at Logan.

    7 days have been warmer than normal.
    5 days have been right about normal.
    16 days have been below normal.

    Current departure for the month-to-date: -1.6F.

  20. Thanks, TK.

    It has been perfect running weather. Not cold or warm. Temps in the 40s are conducive to my best jogging days. Also don’t get the precipitous drops in blood pressure (to nearly fainting level) like I do in summer.

    While I don’t run outdoors every day, I have run 3,614 consecutive days anywhere between 3 and 11 miles, either indoors or out.

    Is it healthy? I am not sure. I do not feel any healthier. I feel kind of old, in fact. But it is an addiction. No doubt better for me than heroin.

  22. Thanks TK.

    12z Euro looks cold as we enter December with a light snow event ~12/2 and close to something a little bigger. It also has a similar system to what the GFS is showing around 12/4-5 but actually shunts it south to us and out to sea as the cold air is firmly entrenched.

  25. I have read TK’s winter outlook 2 times and need to read it again. It is so detailed, so informative, for both the novice and the professional. I have forwarded it to in region people on both both sides of the spectrum and out of region professionals. It is a masterclass.

    I need to read it again in order to better inform my upcoming season opinions. I am no where near the seasonal forecaster the TK is.

    For the next two weeks, variable temperatures, as SNE continues in a transitional to battleground pattern. ~1″ of QPF and most (not all) of it not frozen…

  26. Spent the first days in Missouri City, Texas with my daughter. Was in the 80’s each day. Will go back to my daughter’s Saturday and then start the drive home on the 1st. Couldn’t get the courage to fly with all that’s going on, so driving was the choice.
    Wishing all a happy Thanksgiving. We shall celebrate with Texas fried turkeys.

    My idea last year didn’t get much support. That was giving TK a week off during the winter and we all do our own forecasts for the week chosen. Might need us to meet to set it up….maybe a group dinner. Let’s discuss.

    1. What fun and driving makes perfect sense.

      Wishing you and your family a happy Thanksgiving also

      I lovd your idea. !!!

  27. I lost the first part of my post…am in Bulverde TX about 30 miles north of San Antonio. A few showers this morning, but the sun came out and is really warm. The drive from providence to Missouri City was dry and uneventful. Should get back on the 6th. Please keep the nice weather going….NO SNOW STORMS!

  28. Saw hand Dr today. I have a lump at base of nail right middle finger down into top joint. It’s a cyst so I’ll need surgery. But it’s local and I’ll only need to keep covered for five days. And he said they play guess the song in the op room. It’s 50/60s music. My favorite part. I’m really good at that era as it’s what I grew up with but I may need an open line to here’

    And he’s in Hopkinton as well as my very favorite fish store so I picked up a baked stuffed lobster. Yummmmmmm

          1. Thank you. It’s fortunately very simple. Said the nonprofessional. I’m more excited about the oldies tests. I’m always asking my grand kids to test me with songs

            1. At least the middle finger will be inoperable for 5 days.
              Good news for anyone that you might be angry with lol.

              Wishing you little pain.

  34. I havent had time to look further into it, but looks like a thickly settled neighborhood northwest of Houston experienced a tornado yesterday, on the lower end of the Fujita scale. Some some damage in the photos I briefly peeked at.

    1. Spoke to my daughter last night. She is in Missouri City which is southwest of Houston but she was aware of it and just got a normal thunderstorm. Strangly enough, we are saw cloud to cloud flashes in the far eastern sky all the way from Bulverde .
      We are in the high country to i guess it’s possible. Skies were clear here.

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