Wednesday November 26 2025 Forecast (7:53AM)

87 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 26-30)

November’s final five are what’s covered in this detailed forecast section today – a period of high scrutiny for weather as many plans that involve travel are packed into this period of time known basically as Thanksgiving Weekend. Today, the day before the holiday, is a big travel and pre-holiday errand day, and will be a mild one with a few rain showers around, but generally quite favorable for moving about. We’re in the warm sector between the warm front that generated last night’s rainfall, and a cold front that will bring a final round of showers this evening. This allow temps to elevate to above normal levels today. Behind the cold front comes a breezy, cooler, but dry day for Thanksgiving Day on Thursday. Other than some lingering muddy conditions on natural turn fields, high school football games will be played in generally favorable conditions, and there will be no significant weather issues for some scheduled road races and also for local / regional travel, other than an increase in the gusty breeze. Colder air will be moving in during the day, but the day overall will have near to slightly above normal temperatures, just with an upside down profile – going from mildest morning to colder afternoon. This sets up a couple blustery and cold days Friday and Saturday. Friday will be the windier of those two, though Saturday will be the slightly colder of the two. I can’t rule out a quick-passing snow flurry, especially Friday, with moisture making it all the way into the region from the Great Lakes, and with the help of a pool of cold air crossing the region on Friday. By Sunday, we’re back to a moderating trend but clouds move back in ahead of the next trough and frontal system, which may bring wet weather to the region before the day is out, if it moves in quickly enough.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a passing rain shower. Highs 57-64. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with an additional rain shower likely during the evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W.

THURSDAY (THANKSGIVING): Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52 in the morning, then slowly falling. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Chance of a passing snow flurry. Highs 38-45. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of a snow flurry early. Lows 23-30. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind W 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain late. Highs 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 1-5)

Frontal system goes by with early rain shower potential December 1, which will start mild then turn colder. Overall colder regime the balance of the first several days of month. We’ll have to watch a wave of low pressure expected to pass by to our south later December 2 to early December 3. If it’s close enough, we have a snow/mix/rain threat, but right now my leaning is that it will pass mostly offshore. Watch for another system from the west with a snow shower potential by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 6-10)

Overall trend is for colder over milder here, but we’ll still not be far from a zone separating the cold front a much milder US Southeast, so we’ll have to watch for disturbances along that boundary that can get into our region, as well as disturbances from the west. Highest chance to see something here is around December 7, based on current medium range trends.

87 thoughts on “Wednesday November 26 2025 Forecast (7:53AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Wordle: 3

    After a bunch of cold, frosty mornings, this was a nice change this morning. No waiting for the car to warm up. 🙂

      2. Nice, you 2. I don’t know how you do it.
        This game just isn’t made for me. I KNEW that going in, but thought I’d give it a whirl anyway.

        1. You’re doing a great job. We all have ups and downs. Even when I think I have found a plan, it changes.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    49 just after midnight, now 54

    Ocean: 50

    Wordle: another disgusting 6 with a terrible word I have NEVER heard of before!!!! I am getting fed up with this game.

    1. You still got it. That’s what counts. I’m Familiar with the word only cause my mom used it. Can’t Say why it it’d be s hint. That said, I honestly didn’t think it would take when I entered it

          1. The hardest part of the school year, from a physical exhaustion perspective, is right at Thanksgiving Break.

            Most all districts have 2 nights of conferences right before Thanksgiving.

            Your setting classroom expectations and norms the first couple months of the year, which takes a ton of energy,

            Its all exhausting !!

            But now, a 4.5 day break, in about 3 weeks, an end of December break, then February break.

            So, starting at 11:15am, there is a chance to mentally and physically re-charge.

            But, I will tell you, most every educator is on fumes today.

  8. To Mark, in response to you comment yesterdays blog.
    1. China 1322GW vs the USA 468GWin that was a 2023 report and the seperation has increased. 2 China = 230GW of solar power more than the USA and all of Europe combine 3. Wind energy 2x the rest of the world capacity 4. Battery production, the USA is at a darn snails pace compared to China. 5. China has invested nearly 3 to 4x as much into renewables than the USA.

    China may create more pollution but that is decreasing for 1 They are increasingly improving while the USA is falling back on its but because of oil, gas, even coal and politicians and deniers getting in our way. What is it going to take for us to actually do something for the sake of our planet. There is no planet B. As an environmental scientist, I look at the entire planetary system, we are at the beginning stages of a mass extinction event. Bug populations crashing, Bird populations crashing, invertebrate communities are crashing in general. I don’t just look at atmospheric readings which if you take out the 30 year changes you still have the climate change signal. In the oceans acidification is making inverts more vulnerable to predators, and disease. There is a reason the red king crab was not fished for 2 years, some of the research was barred from seeing the light of day because of a certain governor. it wasn’t just about the overfishing. These are the starting signs of such mass events. Just instead of an asteroid or some other major event causing it, we are doing it. It doesn’t take much to see all the signs if you just open our eyes.
    SO Honestly Mark who cares if China or the USA pollutes more than the other. that difference is decreasing and the USA is doing almost nothing to narrow the gap. What we should care about is what we can control which is improve our footprint by increasing our green tech and transitioning away from the dirty fuels. IF people don’t care about the planet, at least care that China is so far ahead in that arena and could dominate it for decades.

    1. Thank you, Matt. Sad state we are in. Mac saw this well before he passed through his PCB testing for something as seemingly small comparatively

    2. Matt, I wasnt speaking as to what we should or shouldn’t be doing in the US to reduce our pollution. And wasn’t terribly surprised to see the US that high on the list either. Just commenting on the enormous disparity between China and the rest of the world with respect to the shear volume of greenhouse and CO2 emissions they are producing. It’s great to hear they are trying to do something but it is having little effect. China’s greenhouse gas emissions have gone from 13.1B in 2015 to 14.5B in 2020 to 16B in 2023. Increasing steadily. Conversely the US greenhouse gas emissions have remained steady around 6B since 2015. These numbers per the link I posted last night. If China is doing so much and we are doing nothing, why are their emissions continuing to skyrocket and we have leveled off the past 10 years?

      Perhaps it starts to level off with these initiatives you spoke of in the next 5 years but there seems to be a larger problem over there. I initially thought it might be a shear population issue with the $1.4 billion that live there but India has the same population and produces 25% of what China does.

      So yes – I agree, let’s worry about what we can control here but we absolutely do need to care about what countries like China are doing. We could cut our emissions in a third here and those reductions would be erased in no time by them and other developing countries who are getting consistently worse, not better. It’s a global issue.

    1. it would be fun to fly into Boston with snow on the ground Just nothing on the actualy day of the 14th. I don’t want my 30 hour flight to be any longer than it has to be

      2. Wow, 30 hrs, but worth it.

        One of our friends, married to my wife’s friend, is from Australia.

        She makes the flight to Australia, with her family, almost every year, occasionally every other year.

        They go every summer, when the kids are on summer break. Stay a month, sometimes more.

        I’d like to do that trip, someday.

        1. Me too, except I have MISSED that window!!

          I am NOT traveling 30 hours at my age. NOPE! Not going to do that!!! Geez, my limit driving now is 2 hours top, if that. The days I run errands in the afternoon, I fall asleep
          after dinner. 🙂

          It SUCKS to get OLD!!!! TRUST ME!!!!!

          1. Oh, I know.

            I understand I’m younger, but its starting to show some signs on driving.

            I really notice how much harder it is to drive at night and the oncoming car’s headlights are much more challenging to deal with.

            1. Driving at night! For sure, big time. I actually still can do it, but the new LED headlights are INSANE. They are really blinding!!!! Worst driving conditions ever, driving at night in a heavy drizzle!!!!!

              1. One night, I heard on late night radio (WBZ/iHeart) that statistics show that on coming headlights don’t really cause that many accidents.

                Are the high beams a myth?

              2. I sadly can’t. But part of the reason is there are no street lights here. In the smaller narrower roads I can absolutely say that the led lights are blinding.

            2. I think part of the headlight thing is not you getting older but the lights on the cars getting much brighter

          2. I’m in the JPD camp. Although being older beats the alternative I have always hoped to see Australia

  11. Wordle in 3. One of my favorite words to use sometimes.

    Gfs, cmc, euro and others all smelling snow in the air somewhere out there. Going to be interesting to see how it progresses and shakes out.

    Went to the grocery store early this morning to pick up our preordered thanksgiving stuff… there were a great amount of people for that early in the morning. Only going to get worse! I also picked up my bib and shirt for the thanksgiving turkey trot here in hingham tomorrow morning. Do a morning 5k to burn calories before eating, it’s a great idea!!

  12. Back in my day, school dismissed at noon the day before Thanksgiving.

    11:15? Then why bother opening school at all?
    😉

        1. I was going to say that actually…it is very easy to do when you are going too fast. But I only duplicated it twice 🙂

    1. I’ve been around these parts too long to ever get my hopes too high on a Day 6 threat, especially when not all models are in agreement and there is such run to run variability. I will say regardless of what happens Tuesday, GFS and Euro look cold and active through mid December.

  20. Ryan Hanrahan You Tube discussion from this morning regarding the storm threat next week. He is leaning against any significant impact:

    https://youtu.be/6qPgpK-CUXs

    He said he is going to be doing more of these discussions throughout the winter season which is great!

    1. Correction – he actually just posted this video about 25 min ago so it includes the 12z guidance.

  24. I’m surprised I haven’t seen any posts on s.m. today about the 684 hour CFS forecast for a Christmas Eve blizzard. 😉

    BAHAHAHA

  27. Eric already has a “Next Weather Alert” for next Tuesday. That’s 6 days away!

    Puzzling…to say the least. I don’t recall he’s ever put out an “alert” that far in advance for ANY event regardless of precipitation type.

        1. Eric did post a “Next Weather Alert” for Tuesday on his 7-day forecast. It stuck out like a sore thumb.

          1. Ok, I looked at it again and it’s “Next Weather Alert (possible)”. That is somewhat of a difference I suppose.

            I wonder if Eric went with the GFS. It does have several inches even at the coastline. The EURO has less than an inch regionwide. Mike Waunkum showed both but is going with the EURO for now.

  28. I will believe nothing of the 12z, 18z GFS or the 00z ICON until the Euro-AI starts showing some impact.

    1. 00z or 12z euro-AI ……. 18z, meh …..

      Now, if that starts coming around, I’ll be more interested.

  29. Wow….0z GFS, ICON, Euro, CMC, and UKMET now all deliver a major coastal storm Tuesday. ICON would be an all out snowstorm but the track has come so far north on the rest that we would be dealing with snow to mix and rain situation in many areas.

    Still a day 5 system at this point….

  30. Humor from meteorologist Steve DiMartino
    If anyone wants to get me a Christmas Present, please either fix or kill the GFS. Thank you.

    1. Long overdue. I’d like them to fix it. But if they don’t plan to, why continue to run it? Geez.

      Also, it’s time for the NAM to go. The RRFS is ready.

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